Mexico vs Colombia match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Mexico drew with Colombia 1–1 in a friendly (Friendly International) on 27 September 2026. Mexico had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mexico 27%, the draw 30% and Colombia 43%.
Mexico vs Colombia match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 15 Total shots 5
- 4 Shots on target 2
- 7 Shots off target 1
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 9 Shots inside the box 4
- 2 Corners 5
- 18 Fouls 18
- 1 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 483 Passes 417
- 87% Pass accuracy 86%
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 9' Goal L. Suárez (assist R. Rios) Colombia
- 23' Yellow card L. Suárez Colombia
- 37' Yellow card Á. Angulo Colombia
- 43' Yellow card H. Lozano Mexico
- 59' Yellow card J. Sánchez Mexico
- 62' Goal G. Mora (assist J. Gallardo) Mexico
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 27%Mexico fair odds 3.70
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.35
- 43%Colombia fair odds 2.32
Most likely score 1-1 (14.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.16 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.30 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.06 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.3
Mexico 4.4 · Colombia 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 8.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 9.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Mexico 1.7 · Colombia 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.7
Mexico 3.7 · Colombia 4.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 7.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 8.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 9.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4401 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.3%
- 0–1 10.1%
- 0–0 9.9%
- 1–2 8.9%
- 0–2 8.3%
- 1–0 7.3%
- 2–1 6.8%
- 2–2 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Mexico
Bench M. Chávez , O. Vargas , Álvaro Fidalgo , O. Pineda , Ó. García , Álex Padilla , E. López , V. Guzmán , D. García , I. Violante , J. Márquez , S. Gimenez , G. Berterame
Colombia
Bench S. Velásquez , J. Campaz , K. Viveros , A. Quintana , K. Mier , E. Ocampo , Royer Caicedo , K. Andrade , M. Orozco , J. Rengifo , D. Arcila , J. E. Solis Romero , Y. Asprilla , C. Duran , Ó. Perea
Form guide
Mexico at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Colombia away
2–3–0 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 5
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Mexico vs Colombia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico v Colombia | 0–4 | |
| Mexico v Colombia | 2–3 | |
| Mexico v Colombia | 2–3 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.64 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.88 |
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.43 |
| Home clean sheet | 24% | 4.12 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.57 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.10 |