Albania vs Belarus match stats & report

2–0 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League C - 1 · Arena Kombëtare, Tirana · Ref Samuel Barrott

Albania stats & fixtures · Belarus stats & fixtures

Albania beat Belarus 2–0 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 1) on 26 September 2026. Albania had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Albania 57%, the draw 28% and Belarus 15%.

Albania vs Belarus match statistics

AlbaniaBelarus

Goals and cards

  1. 21' Yellow card I. Tikhomirov Belarus
  2. 32' Yellow card A. Kontsevoy Belarus
  3. 34' Penalty scored K. Asllani Albania
  4. 45' Yellow card E. Malashevich Belarus
  5. 45+2' Goal E. Muci (assist E. Hysaj) Albania
  6. 45+3' Yellow card Ylber Ramadani Albania
  7. 85' Yellow card S. Pilios Albania
  8. 90+2' Yellow card Z. Volkov Belarus

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-0 (15.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals88%1.14
Over 1.5 goals67%1.49
Over 2.5 goals39%2.56
Over 3.5 goals19%5.26
Over 4.5 goals8%12.85
Under 0.5 goals12%8.32
Under 1.5 goals33%3.05
Under 2.5 goals61%1.64
Under 3.5 goals81%1.23
Under 4.5 goals92%1.08
Both teams to score: Yes41%2.47
Both teams to score: No59%1.68

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.5

Albania 4.9 · Belarus 3.6

Total cornersOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.560%40%
8.547%53%
9.535%65%
10.524%76%

Expected cards: 3.4

Albania 1.4 · Belarus 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
1.584%16%
2.565%35%
3.543%57%
4.525%75%
5.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 7.2

Albania 4.4 · Belarus 2.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.557%43%
7.543%57%
8.530%70%
9.520%80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4392 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–0 15.1%
  2. 2–0 13.0%
  3. 1–1 12.7%
  4. 0–0 12.0%
  5. 2–1 8.8%
  6. 3–0 6.8%
  7. 0–1 5.7%
  8. 3–1 4.6%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Albania at home

3–0–3 in 6 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 6
Corners
6.8 per game
Shots on target
3.3 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Belarus away

2–2–2 in 6 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Corners
3.4 per game
Shots on target
2.8 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Albania vs Belarus head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Albania v Belarus 3–2
Belarus v Albania 0–2

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Albania vs Belarus head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +0.5 handicap 43% 2.34
Away +1.5 handicap 68% 1.46
Draw/Away double chance 43% 2.34
Home/Draw double chance 85% 1.17
Home +1.5 handicap 96% 1.04
Home +0.5 handicap 85% 1.17
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.26
Home clean sheet 51% 1.97
Home -0.5 handicap 57% 1.74
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Home -1.5 handicap 32% 3.16
Away Over 0.5 team goals 49% 2.03
Away clean sheet 21% 4.80
Home Over 1.5 team goals 46% 2.15
Away -0.5 handicap 15% 6.87
Away Over 1.5 team goals 15% 6.72
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.79
Away -1.5 handicap 4% 23.38
Away Over 2.5 team goals 3% 31.55