Czechia vs Croatia match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Czechia lost to Croatia 1–2 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 1) on 26 September 2026. Croatia had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Czechia 30%, the draw 27% and Croatia 42%.
Czechia vs Croatia match statistics
- 44% Ball possession 56%
- 5 Total shots 16
- 2 Shots on target 5
- 2 Shots off target 6
- 1 Blocked shots 5
- 4 Shots inside the box 12
- 1 Corners 6
- 6 Fouls 9
- 6 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 450 Passes 564
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 36' Yellow card L. Červ Czechia
- 47' Goal L. Modrić (assist Igor Matanović) Croatia
- 54' Goal A. Karabec (assist A. Hložek) Czechia
- 66' Yellow card Luka Vušković Croatia
- 77' Goal M. Pasalic (assist I. Perišić) Croatia
- 90+5' Yellow card Alex Král Czechia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 30%Czechia fair odds 3.29
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.67
- 42%Croatia fair odds 2.36
Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.77 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.94 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.53 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Czechia 4.3 · Croatia 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.2
Czechia 1.5 · Croatia 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Czechia 3.4 · Croatia 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4392 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.8%
- 1–2 9.1%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 0–2 6.8%
- 0–0 6.7%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 1–0 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Czechia
Bench A. Kinský , P. Bucha , M. Kovář , Alex Král , O. Kricfalusi , R. Macek , M. Radosta , M. Sáček , V. Sejk , M. Šubert , M. Vitík , O. Zmrzlý
Croatia
Bench N. Vlašić , J. Sutalo , I. Smolčić , M. Pasalic , Mario Pašalić , I. Pandur , J. Mišić , L. Majer , A. Kramarić , D. Kotarski , D. Beljo , A. Budimir
Form guide
Czechia at home
4–2–3 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 9
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Croatia away
4–1–4 in 9 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 9
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Czechia vs Croatia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Czechia v Croatia | 0–0 | |
| Croatia v Czechia | 5–1 | |
| Croatia v Czechia | 1–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.61 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 58% | 1.74 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.44 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 70% | 1.44 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.57 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 5.00 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.47 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.81 |