England vs Spain match stats & report
2–3 Full time
England lost to Spain 2–3 in the UEFA Nations League (League A - 1) on 26 September 2026. Spain had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave England 44%, the draw 26% and Spain 31%.
England vs Spain match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 13 Total shots 15
- 5 Shots on target 5
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 5
- 7 Shots inside the box 8
- 6 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 16
- 1 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 446 Passes 512
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal Lamine Yamal Spain
- 36' Goal A. Gordon (assist J. Bellingham) England
- 40' Goal H. Kane (assist N. O'Reilly) England
- 54' Penalty missed H. Kane England
- 60' Goal Álex Baena (assist Dani Olmo) Spain
- 67' Yellow card N. O'Reilly England
- 69' Yellow card M. Guéhi England
- 74' Goal Mikel Oyarzabal (assist Álex Baena) Spain
- 81' Yellow card J. Bellingham England
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%England fair odds 2.29
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.91
- 31%Spain fair odds 3.26
Most likely score 1-1 (11.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.34 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.63 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.71 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score: No | 35% | 2.89 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.1
England 3.6 · Spain 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected cards: 3.2
England 1.7 · Spain 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 3.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 89% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
England 3.3 · Spain 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 6.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 8.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 9.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4392 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.4%
- 2–1 9.0%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–2 6.6%
- 2–0 6.1%
- 1–0 5.6%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 0–0 5.2%
Team news & lineups
England
Bench T. Alexander-Arnold , E. Eze , J. Garner , M. Gibbs-White , L. Hall , J. Pickford , M. Rogers , A. Scott , Jason Steele , D. Calvert-Lewin , J. Branthwaite , T. Chalobah
Spain
Bench Álex Baena , Pedri , Álex Grimaldo , D. Huijsen , Fermín , Josep Martínez , Mikel Merino , Mikel Oyarzabal , Yeremy Pino , David Raya , M. Zubimendi
Form guide
England at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Spain away
7–0–0 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 7
- Corners
- 4.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
England vs Spain head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Spain v England | 2–1 | |
| Spain v England | 2–3 | |
| England v Spain | 1–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.13 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.78 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.44 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 69% | 1.44 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.42 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.26 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.95 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.76 |