San Marino vs Finland match stats & report
0–7 Full time
San Marino stats & fixtures · Finland stats & fixtures
San Marino lost to Finland 0–7 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 1) on 26 September 2026. Finland had 75% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave San Marino 1%, the draw 7% and Finland 92%.
San Marino vs Finland match statistics
- 25% Ball possession 75%
- 1 Total shots 23
- 0 Shots on target 11
- 1 Shots off target 7
- 0 Blocked shots 5
- 0 Shots inside the box 18
- 0 Corners 4
- 14 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 1 Red cards 0
- 257 Passes 783
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal J. Pohjanpalo Finland
- 14' Goal A. Svanback (assist L. Walta) Finland
- 33' Goal B. Källman (assist A. Svanback) Finland
- 43' Yellow card A. Marhiev Finland
- 50' Goal L. Walta Finland
- 51' Red card A. Golinucci San Marino
- 55' Goal L. Walta (assist Juho Lähteenmäki) Finland
- 79' Goal J. Pohjanpalo (assist A. Svanback) Finland
- 86' Yellow card San Marino
- 88' Penalty scored J. Pohjanpalo Finland
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 1%San Marino fair odds 139.98
- 7%Draw fair odds 14.60
- 92%Finland fair odds 1.08
Most likely score 0-3 (18.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.33 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 24.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.24 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 16% | 6.17 |
| Both teams to score: No | 84% | 1.19 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
San Marino 1.8 · Finland 7.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.4
San Marino 2.1 · Finland 1.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
San Marino 1.2 · Finland 7.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4392 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–3 18.7%
- 0–2 18.2%
- 0–4 14.4%
- 0–1 11.5%
- 0–5 8.9%
- 0–6 4.6%
- 0–0 4.1%
- 1–3 3.4%
Team news & lineups
San Marino
Bench M. Zavoli , D. Rossi , S. Pancotti , M. Mularoni , G. Benvenuti , M. De Angelis , L. Lazzari , G. Capicchioni , Fausto Marino Salicioni Ortiz, P. Marinucci , S. Giocondi , Balda Enea Della
Finland
Bench S. Vaananen , L. Vaisanen , A. Stahl , T. Miettinen , R. Mahuta , R. Lod , G. Kamara , Oiva Jukkola , Lukáš Hrádecký , L. Bergström , O. Valakari , A. Suhonen
Form guide
San Marino at home
0–1–5 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.3 per game
- Conceded
- 3.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 6
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Finland away
2–0–4 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
San Marino vs Finland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| San Marino v Finland | 1–2 | |
| Finland v San Marino | 6–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 83% | 1.20 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 92% | 1.08 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 99% | 1.01 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.41 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 8% | 13.22 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 17% | 5.99 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 8% | 13.22 |
| Home clean sheet | 5% | 21.81 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 1% | 67.74 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | <1% | 1130.71 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 1% | 139.98 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | <1% | 1233.10 |