Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr prediction & stats

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 11

Al-Faisaly FC stats & fixtures · Al-Nassr stats & fixtures

Al-Faisaly FC take on Al-Nassr in the Pro League on 23 October 2026. The Ghost makes Al-Nassr favourites at 69%, with the draw at 20%. The likeliest score is 0–2, at 12.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr prediction

Most likely score 0-2 (12.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals81%1.23
Over 2.5 goals58%1.72
Over 3.5 goals35%2.83
Over 4.5 goals19%5.38
Under 0.5 goals6%17.47
Under 1.5 goals19%5.38
Under 2.5 goals42%2.39
Under 3.5 goals65%1.55
Under 4.5 goals81%1.23
Both teams to score: Yes51%1.95
Both teams to score: No49%2.06

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.3

Al-Faisaly FC 3.3 · Al-Nassr 6.0

Total cornersOverUnder
7.569%31%
8.557%43%
9.545%55%
10.534%66%
11.524%76%

Expected cards: 3.7

Al-Faisaly FC 2.0 · Al-Nassr 1.7

Total cardsOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.551%49%
4.532%68%
5.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 8.8

Al-Faisaly FC 2.3 · Al-Nassr 6.5

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.564%36%
8.552%48%
9.539%61%
10.528%72%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (343 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 0–2 12.1%
  2. 1–2 10.5%
  3. 0–1 10.2%
  4. 1–1 9.6%
  5. 0–3 8.5%
  6. 1–3 7.4%
  7. 0–0 5.7%
  8. 0–4 4.5%

Team news & lineups

Al-Faisaly FC

Probable — not confirmed

Al-Nassr

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Al-Faisaly FC at home

1–2–2 in 5 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 5
Corners
2.8 per game
Shots on target
3.4 per game

Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Al-Nassr away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
8.1 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 96% 1.04
Away Over 0.5 team goals 89% 1.12
Away +0.5 handicap 89% 1.12
Draw/Away double chance 89% 1.12
Home/Away double chance 80% 1.25
Away -0.5 handicap 69% 1.45
Away Over 1.5 team goals 65% 1.54
Home Over 0.5 team goals 56% 1.78
Home +1.5 handicap 55% 1.80
Away -1.5 handicap 45% 2.24
Away clean sheet 44% 2.29
Away Over 2.5 team goals 37% 2.68
Home/Draw double chance 31% 3.22
Home +0.5 handicap 31% 3.22
Home Over 1.5 team goals 20% 5.02
Home -0.5 handicap 11% 9.05
Home clean sheet 11% 9.42
Home Over 2.5 team goals 5% 19.65
Home -1.5 handicap 4% 26.71