Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction & stats

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 11 · Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf

Al-Fateh stats & fixtures · Al Shabab stats & fixtures

Al-Fateh take on Al Shabab in the Pro League on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Al Shabab favourites at 41%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 64%.

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.06
Over 1.5 goals84%1.19
Over 2.5 goals62%1.62
Over 3.5 goals39%2.56
Over 4.5 goals21%4.66
Under 0.5 goals5%18.55
Under 1.5 goals16%6.19
Under 2.5 goals38%2.61
Under 3.5 goals61%1.64
Under 4.5 goals79%1.27
Both teams to score: Yes64%1.56
Both teams to score: No36%2.79

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.5

Al-Fateh 5.2 · Al Shabab 5.3

Total cornersOverUnder
8.570%30%
9.559%41%
10.547%53%
11.537%63%
12.527%73%

Expected cards: 4.2

Al-Fateh 2.0 · Al Shabab 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.559%41%
4.540%60%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 9.8

Al-Fateh 4.5 · Al Shabab 5.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.574%26%
8.563%37%
9.551%49%
10.540%60%
11.529%71%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (343 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.5%
  2. 1–2 8.9%
  3. 2–1 8.0%
  4. 2–2 6.3%
  5. 0–2 5.9%
  6. 0–1 5.7%
  7. 0–0 5.4%
  8. 1–0 5.0%

Team news & lineups

Al-Fateh

Probable — not confirmed

Al Shabab

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Al-Fateh at home

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored
0.9 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.1 per game
Shots on target
5.5 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al Shabab away

1–5–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
6.3 per game
Shots on target
5.1 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Al Shabab v Al-Fateh 1–1
Al-Fateh v Al Shabab 2–0
Al-Fateh v Al Shabab 3–1
Al Shabab v Al-Fateh 2–2

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 83% 1.20
Away Over 0.5 team goals 81% 1.23
Home +1.5 handicap 78% 1.28
Home Over 0.5 team goals 78% 1.29
Home/Away double chance 75% 1.34
Draw/Away double chance 66% 1.51
Away +0.5 handicap 66% 1.51
Home +0.5 handicap 59% 1.69
Home/Draw double chance 59% 1.69
Away Over 1.5 team goals 50% 2.01
Home Over 1.5 team goals 44% 2.25
Away -0.5 handicap 41% 2.45
Home -0.5 handicap 34% 2.95
Away Over 2.5 team goals 23% 4.27
Away clean sheet 22% 4.49
Away -1.5 handicap 22% 4.63
Home Over 2.5 team goals 19% 5.17
Home clean sheet 19% 5.27
Home -1.5 handicap 17% 5.97