Al-Nassr vs NEOM prediction & stats
Al-Nassr take on NEOM in the Pro League on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Al-Nassr favourites at 65%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 53%.
Al-Nassr vs NEOM prediction
- 65%Al-Nassr fair odds 1.54
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.62
- 14%NEOM fair odds 7.37
Most likely score 2-0 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.51 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.67 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Al-Nassr 6.0 · NEOM 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Al-Nassr 1.9 · NEOM 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.2
Al-Nassr 6.5 · NEOM 2.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (343 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.2%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 1–1 10.3%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 3–0 7.5%
- 3–1 7.1%
- 0–0 6.0%
- 2–2 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Al-Nassr
- 10 S. Mané Midfielder
- 7 Cristiano Ronaldo Attacker
- 11 Samú Costa Midfielder
- 12 Nawaf Boushal Defender
- 79 João Félix Attacker
- 26 Íñigo Martínez Defender
- 24 Bento Goalkeeper
- 3 M. Simakan Defender
- 20 Ângelo Midfielder
- 21 K. Coman Midfielder
- 70 Awad Aman Defender
NEOM
- 15 Abdulmalik Al Oyayari Defender
- 1 M. Bułka Goalkeeper
- 44 N. Zézé Defender
- 5 M. Sarr Defender
- 91 A. Lacazette Attacker
- 27 Islam Hawsawi Defender
- 7 G. Masouras Midfielder
- 23 V. Vada Midfielder
- 77 Muhannad Al Saad Midfielder
- 72 A. Koné Midfielder
- 19 Mohannad Abu Taha Defender
Form guide
Al-Nassr at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
NEOM away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Al-Nassr vs NEOM head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Nassr v NEOM | 1–0 | |
| NEOM v Al-Nassr | 1–3 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.84 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.68 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 35% | 2.84 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.47 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.41 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 15.87 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.47 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.37 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.35 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 20.52 |