Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh prediction & stats

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 10 · Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh

Al Diriyah stats & fixtures · Al Riyadh stats & fixtures

Al Diriyah take on Al Riyadh in the Pro League on 20 October 2026. The Ghost makes Al Diriyah favourites at 50%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Al Diriyah vs Al Riyadh prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals75%1.34
Over 2.5 goals48%2.08
Over 3.5 goals26%3.82
Over 4.5 goals12%8.24
Under 0.5 goals9%11.29
Under 1.5 goals25%3.94
Under 2.5 goals52%1.93
Under 3.5 goals74%1.35
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.92
Both teams to score: No48%2.08

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.2

Al Diriyah 6.2 · Al Riyadh 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.555%45%
10.544%56%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 3.8

Al Diriyah 1.6 · Al Riyadh 2.2

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.572%28%
3.552%48%
4.533%67%
5.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 8.2

Al Diriyah 4.1 · Al Riyadh 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.556%44%
8.543%57%
9.531%69%
10.521%79%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (343 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.3%
  2. 1–0 10.6%
  3. 2–1 9.8%
  4. 2–0 9.5%
  5. 0–0 8.9%
  6. 1–2 5.9%
  7. 0–1 5.9%
  8. 3–1 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Al Diriyah

Probable — not confirmed

Al Riyadh

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Al Diriyah at home

1–3–2 in 6 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Corners
5.5 per game
Shots on target
1.3 per game

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Al Riyadh away

1–4–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
2.5 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
4.1 per game

23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Home +0.5 handicap 78% 1.29
Home/Draw double chance 78% 1.29
Away +1.5 handicap 73% 1.36
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals 63% 1.58
Draw/Away double chance 50% 2.00
Away +0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Home -0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Home Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.11
Home clean sheet 37% 2.73
Away Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.76
Home -1.5 handicap 27% 3.77
Away -0.5 handicap 22% 4.49
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.71
Away clean sheet 20% 4.94
Away -1.5 handicap 9% 11.44
Away Over 2.5 team goals 8% 12.20