Simba vs Mbeya City prediction & stats
Simba stats & fixtures · Mbeya City stats & fixtures
Simba take on Mbeya City in the Ligi kuu Bara on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Simba favourites at 87%, with the draw at 11%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 19.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 26%.
Simba vs Mbeya City prediction
- 87%Simba fair odds 1.14
- 11%Draw fair odds 9.30
- 2%Mbeya City fair odds 56.08
Most likely score 2-0 (19.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 3.14 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.30 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.71 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 26% | 3.89 |
| Both teams to score: No | 74% | 1.35 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 19.3%
- 3–0 15.9%
- 1–0 15.0%
- 4–0 9.8%
- 2–1 6.5%
- 0–0 5.3%
- 3–1 5.3%
- 5–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Simba
No lineup published yet.
Mbeya City
- 31 T. Reuben —
- 10 E. Ambokile —
- 8 O. Buzungu —
- 14 N. Mbarouk —
- 17 W. Mwani —
- 20 H. Haji —
- 21 J. Mwanuke —
- 22 V. Mayanga —
- 26 A. Buha —
- 5 Y. Seleman Mbegu —
- 32 O. Abdallah —
Form guide
Simba at home
10–0–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mbeya City away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 1.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Simba vs Mbeya City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City v Simba | 0–1 | |
| Simba v Mbeya City | 3–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | >99% | 1.00 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home/Away double chance | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home clean sheet | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.86 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 13% | 7.98 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 6% | 15.50 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 4% | 26.28 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 2% | 56.08 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | <1% | 271.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | <1% | 322.02 |