KCCA vs UPDF prediction & stats

Premier League · Uganda · Regular Season - 7 · MTN Omondi Stadium

KCCA stats & fixtures · UPDF stats & fixtures

KCCA take on UPDF in the Premier League on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes KCCA favourites at 67%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–0, at 16.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 42% and both teams scoring at 38%.

KCCA vs UPDF prediction

Most likely score 1-0 (16.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals69%1.44
Over 2.5 goals42%2.38
Over 3.5 goals21%4.76
Over 4.5 goals9%11.20
Under 0.5 goals10%9.71
Under 1.5 goals31%3.27
Under 2.5 goals58%1.72
Under 3.5 goals79%1.27
Under 4.5 goals91%1.10
Both teams to score: Yes38%2.66
Both teams to score: No62%1.60

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–0 16.6%
  2. 2–0 15.5%
  3. 1–1 10.6%
  4. 0–0 10.3%
  5. 2–1 9.2%
  6. 3–0 8.9%
  7. 3–1 5.3%
  8. 4–0 3.8%

Team news & lineups

KCCA

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

UPDF

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Form guide

KCCA at home

7–1–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

UPDF away

2–2–6 in 10 matches

Scored
0.9 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.

KCCA vs UPDF head-to-head

DateMatchScore
UPDF v KCCA 1–2
KCCA v UPDF 4–0
UPDF v KCCA 1–2
KCCA v UPDF 0–0

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full KCCA vs UPDF head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 98% 1.02
Home/Draw double chance 91% 1.10
Home +0.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Home Over 0.5 team goals 84% 1.19
Home/Away double chance 76% 1.31
Home -0.5 handicap 67% 1.48
Away +1.5 handicap 60% 1.66
Home clean sheet 57% 1.76
Home Over 1.5 team goals 54% 1.85
Away Over 0.5 team goals 43% 2.32
Home -1.5 handicap 40% 2.51
Draw/Away double chance 33% 3.07
Away +0.5 handicap 33% 3.07
Home Over 2.5 team goals 26% 3.79
Away clean sheet 16% 6.34
Away Over 1.5 team goals 11% 9.23
Away -0.5 handicap 9% 11.06
Away -1.5 handicap 2% 41.52
Away Over 2.5 team goals 2% 51.39