SC Villa vs Mbarara City prediction & stats

Premier League · Uganda · Regular Season - 7 · Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala

SC Villa stats & fixtures · Mbarara City stats & fixtures

SC Villa take on Mbarara City in the Premier League on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes SC Villa favourites at 78%, with the draw at 17%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 17.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 35%.

SC Villa vs Mbarara City prediction

Most likely score 2-0 (17.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.08
Over 1.5 goals75%1.33
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals27%3.65
Over 4.5 goals13%7.76
Under 0.5 goals7%13.74
Under 1.5 goals25%4.06
Under 2.5 goals50%1.99
Under 3.5 goals73%1.38
Under 4.5 goals87%1.15
Both teams to score: Yes35%2.87
Both teams to score: No65%1.54

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–0 17.3%
  2. 1–0 15.3%
  3. 3–0 12.1%
  4. 2–1 8.7%
  5. 1–1 7.7%
  6. 0–0 7.3%
  7. 4–0 6.4%
  8. 3–1 6.1%

Team news & lineups

SC Villa

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Mbarara City

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Form guide

SC Villa at home

5–4–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
0.5 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Mbarara City away

1–3–6 in 10 matches

Scored
0.4 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.

SC Villa vs Mbarara City head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Mbarara City v SC Villa 1–3
SC Villa v Mbarara City 6–1
Mbarara City v SC Villa 0–2
SC Villa v Mbarara City 4–2

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full SC Villa vs Mbarara City head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 99% 1.01
Home/Draw double chance 95% 1.05
Home +0.5 handicap 95% 1.05
Home Over 0.5 team goals 90% 1.11
Home/Away double chance 83% 1.20
Home -0.5 handicap 78% 1.28
Home Over 1.5 team goals 65% 1.53
Home clean sheet 62% 1.60
Home -1.5 handicap 52% 1.91
Away +1.5 handicap 48% 2.10
Away Over 0.5 team goals 38% 2.65
Home Over 2.5 team goals 37% 2.69
Away +0.5 handicap 22% 4.58
Draw/Away double chance 22% 4.58
Away clean sheet 10% 9.90
Away Over 1.5 team goals 8% 12.50
Away -0.5 handicap 5% 20.52
Away Over 2.5 team goals 1% 83.91
Away -1.5 handicap 1% 87.51