FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction & stats

UEFA Europa Conference League · League Stage - 2 · Stockhorn Arena, Thun

FC Thun stats & fixtures · HNK Hajduk Split stats & fixtures

FC Thun take on HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes FC Thun favourites at 38%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 66%.

FC Thun vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals95%1.05
Over 1.5 goals85%1.18
Over 2.5 goals63%1.58
Over 3.5 goals41%2.42
Over 4.5 goals23%4.32
Under 0.5 goals5%19.49
Under 1.5 goals15%6.70
Under 2.5 goals37%2.73
Under 3.5 goals59%1.70
Under 4.5 goals77%1.30
Both teams to score: Yes66%1.51
Both teams to score: No34%2.95

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.5%
  2. 2–1 8.5%
  3. 1–2 8.1%
  4. 2–2 6.8%
  5. 2–0 5.3%
  6. 0–0 5.1%
  7. 1–0 5.0%
  8. 0–2 4.9%

Team news & lineups

FC Thun

Probable — not confirmed

HNK Hajduk Split

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

FC Thun at home

2–4–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.9 per game
Shots on target
3.4 per game

8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

HNK Hajduk Split away

6–1–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
5.8 per game

10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 82% 1.22
Home Over 0.5 team goals 81% 1.23
Away Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Away +1.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Home/Draw double chance 64% 1.56
Home +0.5 handicap 64% 1.56
Draw/Away double chance 62% 1.62
Away +0.5 handicap 62% 1.62
Home Over 1.5 team goals 50% 2.02
Away Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.10
Home -0.5 handicap 38% 2.60
Away -0.5 handicap 36% 2.80
Home Over 2.5 team goals 23% 4.28
Away Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.60
Home -1.5 handicap 20% 4.94
Home clean sheet 20% 4.96
Away clean sheet 19% 5.29
Away -1.5 handicap 18% 5.47