Ajax vs Atalanta prediction & stats
Ajax take on Atalanta in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Atalanta favourites at 48%, with the draw at 26%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Ajax vs Atalanta prediction
- 26%Ajax fair odds 3.88
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.87
- 48%Atalanta fair odds 2.07
Most likely score 1-1 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.04 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.77 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.76 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.62 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.61 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.7
Ajax 6.6 · Atalanta 3.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected shots on target: 11.1
Ajax 7.6 · Atalanta 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (266 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.0%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–2 7.5%
- 0–1 6.9%
- 2–1 6.8%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 0–0 6.0%
- 1–3 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Ajax
No lineup published yet.
Atalanta
- 29 Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper
- 31 T. Kristensen Defender
- 42 G. Scalvini Defender
- 13 Éderson Midfielder
- 17 Charles De Ketelaere Attacker
- 99 E. Elmas Attacker
- 77 Davide Zappacosta Defender
- 16 R. Bellanova Defender
- 9 Gianluca Scamacca Attacker
- 23 Sead Kolašinac Defender
- 11 J. Rowe Attacker
Form guide
Ajax at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 7.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 9.0 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atalanta away
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.94 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.74 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.59 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.64 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.88 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.07 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.26 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.79 |