Pafos vs Riga prediction & stats
Pafos take on Riga in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 2) on 22 October 2026. The Ghost makes Pafos favourites at 63%, with the draw at 23%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 11.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Pafos vs Riga prediction
- 63%Pafos fair odds 1.59
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.34
- 14%Riga fair odds 7.05
Most likely score 2-0 (11.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.01 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.89 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.90 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.09 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.2%
- 1–1 11.0%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 3–0 7.6%
- 0–0 6.7%
- 3–1 6.7%
- 2–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
Pafos
- 18 Lelê —
- 26 Ivan Šunjić —
- 99 Radosław Majecki —
- 4 David Luiz —
- 14 Nikolas Ioannou —
- 88 Pêpê —
- 30 Vlad Dragomir —
- 20 Biel —
- 8 Domingos Quina Midfielder
- 7 Bruno —
- 3 Samy Mmaee Defender
Riga
No lineup published yet.
Form guide
Pafos at home
2–3–2 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Riga away
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 8.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.71 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.41 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 37% | 2.69 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.69 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.02 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.53 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.05 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.60 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.72 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 20.49 |