Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction & stats
Falkirk stats & fixtures · Kilmarnock stats & fixtures
Falkirk take on Kilmarnock in the Premiership on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Falkirk favourites at 52%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction
- 52%Falkirk fair odds 1.93
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.99
- 23%Kilmarnock fair odds 4.33
Most likely score 1-1 (11.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.49 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.99 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.32 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.44 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Falkirk 5.8 · Kilmarnock 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.3
Falkirk 1.9 · Kilmarnock 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 6.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Falkirk 5.2 · Kilmarnock 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (240 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.8%
- 2–1 10.1%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 1–0 8.1%
- 0–0 6.3%
- 1–2 6.2%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 2–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Falkirk
- 16 Finley Frank Barbrook Midfielder
- 24 J. Murrell Attacker
- 8 B. Spencer Midfielder
- 22 R. Strain Defender
- 23 E. Ross Midfielder
- 5 L. Henderson Defender
- 19 S. Bain Goalkeeper
- 28 B. Krauhaus Midfielder
- 42 Owen Eames Midfielder
- 15 L. Neilson Defender
- 3 L. McCann Defender
Kilmarnock
- 14 G. Stanger Defender
- 4 C. McCarthy Defender
- 9 J. Hugill Attacker
- 11 G. Kiltie Midfielder
- 21 M. Schjønning-Larsen Defender
- 18 T. Lowery Midfielder
- 8 E. Ring Midfielder
- 10 T. John-Jules Midfielder
- 12 C. Ferrie Goalkeeper
- 3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara Defender
- 49 B. Rice Midfielder
Form guide
Falkirk at home
3–0–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kilmarnock away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
16% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Falkirk vs Kilmarnock head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk v Kilmarnock | 5–1 | |
| Kilmarnock v Falkirk | 0–1 | |
| Falkirk v Kilmarnock | 3–1 | |
| Falkirk v Kilmarnock | 1–4 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 54% | 1.84 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.22 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.40 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.33 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.19 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.70 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.18 |