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Aberdeen vs ST Mirren match stats & report

3–1 Full time

Premiership · Scotland · Regular Season - 9 · Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen stats & fixtures · ST Mirren stats & fixtures

Aberdeen beat ST Mirren 3–1 in the Premiership on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.33–0.98. ST Mirren had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Aberdeen 40%, the draw 32% and ST Mirren 28%.

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren match statistics

AberdeenST Mirren

Goals and cards

  1. 2' Goal B. Lyons (assist C. Ronan) Aberdeen
  2. 31' Yellow card R. Carr ST Mirren
  3. 42' Goal Eseosa Sule (assist K. Phillips) ST Mirren
  4. 56' Yellow card P. Nsio ST Mirren
  5. 58' Penalty missed K. Nisbet Aberdeen
  6. 58' Goal K. Nisbet Aberdeen
  7. 72' Goal A. Mouloua (assist A. Aremu) Aberdeen
  8. 77' Yellow card S. Armstrong Aberdeen

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals88%1.14
Over 1.5 goals68%1.47
Over 2.5 goals40%2.53
Over 3.5 goals19%5.17
Over 4.5 goals8%12.54
Under 0.5 goals12%8.31
Under 1.5 goals32%3.11
Under 2.5 goals60%1.65
Under 3.5 goals81%1.24
Under 4.5 goals92%1.09
Both teams to score: Yes47%2.12
Both teams to score: No53%1.89

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.9

Aberdeen 5.8 · ST Mirren 5.0

Total cornersOverUnder
8.573%27%
9.563%37%
10.552%48%
11.541%59%
12.531%69%

Expected cards: 4.2

Aberdeen 1.7 · ST Mirren 2.5

Total cardsOverUnder
2.578%22%
3.560%40%
4.541%59%
5.525%75%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 7.9

Aberdeen 4.0 · ST Mirren 3.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.578%22%
6.566%34%
7.552%48%
8.539%61%
9.528%72%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (235 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.8%
  2. 0–0 12.0%
  3. 1–0 11.4%
  4. 0–1 8.8%
  5. 2–1 8.4%
  6. 2–0 8.1%
  7. 1–2 6.6%
  8. 0–2 5.4%

Team news & lineups

Aberdeen

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 S. Robinson

Bench S. Armstrong , E. Gyamfi , D. Happe , D. Klein , F. Marshall , J. Milne , G. Molloy , A. Mouloua , Tony Yogane

ST Mirren

Confirmed 4-4-2 Craig McLeish

Bench L. Donnelly , Henry Fieldson , Louis Jackson , C. McEvoy , C. Mochrie , Samu , F. Taylor , Grant Tamosevicius, J. Young

Form guide

Aberdeen at home

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.6 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

ST Mirren away

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Aberdeen vs ST Mirren head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Aberdeen v ST Mirren 0–2
ST Mirren v Aberdeen 2–0
Aberdeen v ST Mirren 3–3
ST Mirren v Aberdeen 0–1
ST Mirren v Aberdeen 1–0
Aberdeen v ST Mirren 0–3

The full Aberdeen vs ST Mirren head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away clean sheet 29% 3.50
Away +0.5 handicap 60% 1.67
Draw/Away double chance 60% 1.67
Away -0.5 handicap 28% 3.55
Away +1.5 handicap 82% 1.23
Home clean sheet 36% 2.76
Away -1.5 handicap 11% 8.89
Away Over 0.5 team goals 64% 1.57
Home +1.5 handicap 89% 1.13
Home/Draw double chance 72% 1.39
Home +0.5 handicap 72% 1.39
Away Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.71
Home Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.40
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.46
Away Over 2.5 team goals 8% 11.99
Home -0.5 handicap 40% 2.49
Home Over 1.5 team goals 36% 2.81
Home -1.5 handicap 18% 5.42
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.62