Kilmarnock vs Motherwell match stats & report
3–2 Full time
Kilmarnock stats & fixtures · Motherwell stats & fixtures
Kilmarnock beat Motherwell 3–2 in the Premiership on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.56–2.46. Kilmarnock had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Kilmarnock 29%, the draw 27% and Motherwell 45%.
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 1.56 Expected goals (xG) 2.46
- 16 Total shots 15
- 6 Shots on target 7
- 4 Shots off target 4
- 6 Blocked shots 4
- 14 Shots inside the box 10
- 5 Corners 3
- 9 Fouls 8
- 1 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 514 Passes 478
- 6 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal G. Kiltie Kilmarnock
- 17' Goal A. Lowry Motherwell
- 55' Yellow card G. Stanger Kilmarnock
- 56' Goal S. Palmer-Houlden Motherwell
- 58' Goal T. John-Jules (assist J. Brandon) Kilmarnock
- 69' Goal G. Kiltie (assist J. Brandon) Kilmarnock
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 29%Kilmarnock fair odds 3.49
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.74
- 45%Motherwell fair odds 2.24
Most likely score 1-1 (12.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 6.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.43 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.92 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 59% | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score: No | 41% | 2.43 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Kilmarnock 4.8 · Motherwell 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.7
Kilmarnock 2.6 · Motherwell 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 5.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 6.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Kilmarnock 3.9 · Motherwell 5.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (235 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.6%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–1 7.8%
- 0–2 7.4%
- 2–1 7.2%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 2–2 5.7%
- 1–0 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Kilmarnock
Bench J. Brandon , N. Cleșcenco , D. Daniels , R. Deas , N. Mantl , M. O'Hara , J. Meier , I. Owen , A. Tshibola
Motherwell
Bench J. Koutroumbis , D. Levitt , M. Connelly , J. McGhee , W. Vogt , J. Kanga , J. Girdwood-Reich , E. Björgólfsson , Jamie Knight-Lebel
Form guide
Kilmarnock at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Motherwell away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Motherwell v Kilmarnock | 4–0 | |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | 1–3 | |
| Motherwell v Kilmarnock | 2–2 | |
| Motherwell v Kilmarnock | 3–0 | |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | 2–0 | |
| Kilmarnock v Motherwell | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away clean sheet | 28% | 3.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.25 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.80 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.54 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.74 |
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 5.03 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.77 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.34 |