Hibernian vs Falkirk match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Hibernian lost to Falkirk 1–2 in the Premiership on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.42–0.82. Hibernian had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hibernian 47%, the draw 28% and Falkirk 25%.
Hibernian vs Falkirk match statistics
- 70% Ball possession 30%
- 1.42 Expected goals (xG) 0.82
- 17 Total shots 10
- 3 Shots on target 5
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 6 Blocked shots 2
- 14 Shots inside the box 7
- 6 Corners 3
- 5 Fouls 20
- 0 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 588 Passes 248
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 6' Yellow card O. Elding Hibernian
- 13' Goal J. Murrell (assist R. Strain) Falkirk
- 25' Yellow card B. Krauhaus Falkirk
- 37' Goal J. Murrell (assist E. Ross) Falkirk
- 41' Goal O. Elding (assist F. Passlack) Hibernian
- 61' Yellow card R. Strain Falkirk
- 79' Yellow card Finley Frank Barbrook Falkirk
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 47%Hibernian fair odds 2.14
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.56
- 25%Falkirk fair odds 3.98
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.87 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.15 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Hibernian 5.7 · Falkirk 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Hibernian 2.0 · Falkirk 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Hibernian 5.1 · Falkirk 3.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (235 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 1–0 9.8%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 2–0 8.7%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 0–1 6.2%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Hibernian
Bench G. Hanley , N. Cadden , J. Iredale , R. Matondo , J. McGrath , J. Newell , F. Owens , Alex Williams , A. Šuto
Falkirk
Bench C. Fodrey , N. Hogarth , R. MacIver , L. McCann , J. McMillan , D. Meļņiks , Ben Parkinson , F. Yeats , C. McLeod
Form guide
Hibernian at home
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 7.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Falkirk away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Hibernian vs Falkirk head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk v Hibernian | 1–3 | |
| Falkirk v Hibernian | 4–1 | |
| Hibernian v Falkirk | 3–0 | |
| Falkirk v Hibernian | 2–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.69 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 53% | 1.88 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.98 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.67 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.29 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.95 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.12 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.99 |