Barbados vs St. Lucia match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Barbados beat St. Lucia 2–0 in the CONCACAF Nations League (League B - 2) on 26 September 2026. Barbados had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Barbados 37%, the draw 25% and St. Lucia 38%.
Barbados vs St. Lucia match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 15 Total shots 16
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 5 Shots off target 8
- 6 Blocked shots 7
- 7 Shots inside the box 4
- 1 Corners 5
- 12 Fouls 23
- 1 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 475 Passes 401
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 8' Penalty scored T. Gale Barbados
- 44' Yellow card St. Lucia
- 47' Yellow card T. Gale Barbados
- 47' Yellow card St. Lucia
- 64' Yellow card Barbados
- 73' Goal N. Reid-Stephen (assist T. Gale) Barbados
- 90' Yellow card Barbados
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 37%Barbados fair odds 2.67
- 25%Draw fair odds 3.99
- 38%St. Lucia fair odds 2.67
Most likely score 1-1 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 22.18 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.46 |
| Both teams to score: No | 32% | 3.16 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Barbados 4.4 · St. Lucia 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.3
Barbados 1.8 · St. Lucia 1.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 4.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 10.2
Barbados 4.8 · St. Lucia 5.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.8%
- 1–2 8.2%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 2–2 7.0%
- 0–2 4.8%
- 2–0 4.8%
- 1–3 4.7%
- 3–1 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Barbados
Bench Raquan Ricardo Clarke, J. Gilkes, Jacob William Gollop, Sheran Hoyte, T. James , Darico king, Jireh Augustine Malcolm, Jaron oughterson, Shay Prescod, Davion Thorne, Ross Bourne
St. Lucia
Bench Keegan Caul, darren donaie, Dervaj Edward, B. Edward, Alfred Hippolyte, Shaquan Nelson, brandon sandiford, Jason Similien, Djal Augustin, D. St. Prix, Mervin St Romain, Garvin Reggie, Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
Form guide
Barbados at home
2–0–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
St. Lucia away
1–0–2 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 2.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Barbados vs St. Lucia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia v Barbados | 2–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.67 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.60 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.60 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.60 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 18% | 5.53 |