Nairobi United vs Tusker prediction & stats

FKF Premier League · Kenya · Regular Season - 8

Nairobi United stats & fixtures · Tusker stats & fixtures

Nairobi United take on Tusker in the FKF Premier League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Nairobi United favourites at 43%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 45%.

Nairobi United vs Tusker prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals87%1.15
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals38%2.64
Over 3.5 goals18%5.53
Over 4.5 goals7%13.75
Under 0.5 goals13%7.88
Under 1.5 goals34%2.97
Under 2.5 goals62%1.61
Under 3.5 goals82%1.22
Under 4.5 goals93%1.08
Both teams to score: Yes45%2.20
Both teams to score: No55%1.83

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.8%
  2. 0–0 12.7%
  3. 1–0 12.5%
  4. 2–0 8.9%
  5. 0–1 8.5%
  6. 2–1 8.5%
  7. 1–2 6.0%
  8. 0–2 4.8%

Team news & lineups

Nairobi United

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Tusker

Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.

Form guide

Nairobi United at home

3–6–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Tusker away

2–1–7 in 10 matches

Scored
0.7 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
not available
Shots on target
not available

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.

Nairobi United vs Tusker head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Nairobi United v Tusker 1–0
Tusker v Nairobi United 0–1

Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Nairobi United vs Tusker head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 90% 1.11
Away +1.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home/Draw double chance 74% 1.34
Home +0.5 handicap 74% 1.34
Home Over 0.5 team goals 72% 1.39
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.47
Away Over 0.5 team goals 61% 1.65
Draw/Away double chance 57% 1.74
Away +0.5 handicap 57% 1.74
Home -0.5 handicap 43% 2.35
Home clean sheet 39% 2.54
Home Over 1.5 team goals 36% 2.76
Away clean sheet 28% 3.57
Away -0.5 handicap 26% 3.92
Away Over 1.5 team goals 24% 4.17
Home -1.5 handicap 20% 5.05
Home Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.42
Away -1.5 handicap 10% 10.36
Away Over 2.5 team goals 7% 14.46