Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar prediction & stats
Nairobi United stats & fixtures · Mara Sugar stats & fixtures
Nairobi United take on Mara Sugar in the FKF Premier League on 16 October 2026. The Ghost makes Nairobi United favourites at 46%, with the draw at 31%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 45%.
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar prediction
- 46%Nairobi United fair odds 2.18
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.20
- 23%Mara Sugar fair odds 4.38
Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 5.46 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 13.52 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 8.00 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 45% | 2.23 |
| Both teams to score: No | 55% | 1.81 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.4%
- 1–0 13.1%
- 0–0 12.5%
- 2–0 9.7%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 0–1 7.8%
- 1–2 5.5%
- 0–2 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Nairobi United
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Mara Sugar
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form guide
Nairobi United at home
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mara Sugar away
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nairobi United v Mara Sugar | 1–1 | |
| Mara Sugar v Nairobi United | 0–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.53 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.59 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.71 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 54% | 1.85 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.53 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.85 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.18 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.41 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.70 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.57 |