Mombasa Elite vs Kenya Police result
0–0 Full time
Mombasa Elite stats & fixtures · Kenya Police stats & fixtures
Mombasa Elite drew with Kenya Police 0–0 in the FKF Premier League on 25 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Mombasa Elite 37%, the draw 35% and Kenya Police 28%.
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Mombasa Elite or a draw, 72% before kick-off
- 37%Mombasa Elite fair odds 2.71
- 35%Draw fair odds 2.88
- 28%Kenya Police fair odds 3.53
Most likely score 0-0 (16.5%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 635 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Mombasa Elite
Attack 0.91 · Defence 1.06
Last five: LLW, scored 3, conceded 4
Kenya Police
Attack 0.90 · Defence 1.05
Last five: L, scored 1, conceded 2
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.14× what an average away side does. In the numbers
Most likely score 0-0 (16%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
- Mombasa Elite is new to this competition: rated from 3 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers
- Kenya Police is new to this competition: rated from 1 matches, starting where new sides usually land. In the numbers
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Mombasa Elite attack scores 9% less than average, against Kenya Police defence, which lets in 5% more than average: 1.01 goals (an average side here: 1.06)
- Kenya Police attack scores 10% less than average, against Mombasa Elite defence, which lets in 6% more than average: 0.88 goals (an average side here: 0.93)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Mombasa Elite 1.02, Kenya Police 0.87.
Ratings from 3 matches for Mombasa Elite and 1 for Kenya Police, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 29% | 3.40 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | 8.03 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 4% | 22.91 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 16% | 6.07 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 39% | 2.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 61% | 1.63 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–0 16.5%
- 1–1 14.9%
- 1–0 14.1%
- 0–1 11.5%
- 2–0 7.8%
- 2–1 6.9%
- 1–2 5.7%
- 0–2 5.7%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Mombasa Elite at home
1–1–1 in 3 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 3
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Kenya Police away
1–1–0 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 2
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.40 |
| Home/Away double chance | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home clean sheet | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.71 |
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.79 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.53 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.62 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.79 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.83 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 11.89 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 17.12 |