Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar result
0–0 Full time
Ulinzi Stars stats & fixtures · Mara Sugar stats & fixtures
Ulinzi Stars drew with Mara Sugar 0–0 in the FKF Premier League on 24 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Ulinzi Stars 38%, the draw 33% and Mara Sugar 29%.
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: Ulinzi Stars or a draw, 71% before kick-off
- 38%Ulinzi Stars fair odds 2.62
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.01
- 29%Mara Sugar fair odds 3.50
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.
Medium confidence — Fitted on 632 matches, with no market price to check against.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
Ulinzi Stars
Attack 1.01 · Defence 1.01
Last five: DLWWW, scored 6, conceded 4
Against its rating, a match: +0.2 scored, −0.2 conceded
Mara Sugar
Attack 1.00 · Defence 1.00
Last five: WDLDL, scored 5, conceded 6
Against its rating, a match: −0.3 scored, −0.1 conceded
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.14× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- Ulinzi Stars’s last five moved its expected goals by +0.5%. In the numbers
- Mara Sugar’s last five moved its expected goals by −1.8%. In the numbers
- Last 4 meetings: Ulinzi Stars won 1, 1 drawn, Mara Sugar won 2. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (15%). Confidence: Medium.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- Ulinzi Stars attack scores about the average, against Mara Sugar defence, which lets in about the average: 1.08 goals (an average side here: 1.07)
- Mara Sugar attack scores about the average, against Ulinzi Stars defence, which lets in about the average: 0.95 goals (an average side here: 0.94)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on Ulinzi Stars 1.10, Mara Sugar 0.92.
Ratings from 69 matches for Ulinzi Stars and 70 for Mara Sugar, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 18.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.85 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39% | 2.58 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| Both teams to score: No | 58% | 1.71 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 14.6%
- 1–0 13.4%
- 0–1 10.7%
- 2–0 8.0%
- 2–1 7.5%
- 1–2 6.1%
- 0–2 5.6%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
Ulinzi Stars at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mara Sugar away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Mara Sugar v Ulinzi Stars | 2–1 | |
| Ulinzi Stars v Mara Sugar | 1–2 | |
| Mara Sugar v Ulinzi Stars | 1–1 | |
| Ulinzi Stars v Mara Sugar | 1–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.51 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.62 |
| Away clean sheet | 33% | 3.01 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.32 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.50 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.25 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.26 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.40 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.14 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.95 |