Morocco vs Gabon match stats & report
2–0 Full time
Morocco beat Gabon 2–0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Morocco had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Morocco 84%, the draw 13% and Gabon 3%.
Morocco vs Gabon match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 17 Total shots 11
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 9 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 6
- 4 Corners 2
- 10 Fouls 19
- 0 Offsides 4
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 667 Passes 314
- 91% Pass accuracy 81%
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 36' Goal N. Mazraoui (assist N. Aguerd) Morocco
- 41' Yellow card A. Oyono Gabon
- 64' Yellow card A. Bouaddi Morocco
- 72' Yellow card J. Do Marcolino Gabon
- 84' Goal S. Rahimi (assist B. El Khannouss) Morocco
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 84%Morocco fair odds 1.20
- 13%Draw fair odds 7.69
- 3%Gabon fair odds 28.92
Most likely score 2-0 (16.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.01 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.03 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.57 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 34% | 2.97 |
| Both teams to score: No | 66% | 1.51 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Morocco 6.2 · Gabon 2.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected shots on target: 7.5
Morocco 5.3 · Gabon 2.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 7.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 8.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 9.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 16.0%
- 3–0 14.1%
- 1–0 11.4%
- 4–0 9.4%
- 2–1 7.0%
- 3–1 6.2%
- 1–1 6.0%
- 0–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Morocco
Bench M. Mohamedi , A. Ait Boudlal , A. Salah-Eddine , R. Halhal , Z. El Ouahdi , S. El-Faouzi , Abdellah Ouazane , M. Saâdane , O. Targhalline , B. El Khannouss , Ilias Akhomach , S. Rahimi
Gabon
Bench F. Bekale , L. Mounguenou , A. Appindangoye , A. Moucketou-Moussounda , C. Loufilou , E. Matouti , H. Do Marcolino , A. Ella
Form guide
Morocco at home
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Gabon away
1–1–3 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 5
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Morocco vs Gabon head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Gabon v Morocco | 1–5 | |
| Morocco v Gabon | 4–1 | |
| Gabon v Morocco | 2–2 | |
| Morocco v Gabon | 2–3 | |
| Morocco v Gabon | 3–0 | |
| Gabon v Morocco | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 97% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.20 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Away double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.75 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 36% | 2.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 64% | 1.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 16% | 6.07 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.07 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 14.12 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 7% | 13.84 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 98.29 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 97% | 1.04 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 3% | 28.92 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 136.67 |