Burkina Faso vs Benin match stats & report

1–1 Full time

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · Stade du 4-Août, Ouagadougou · Ref Omar Abdulkadir Artan

Burkina Faso stats & fixtures · Benin stats & fixtures

Burkina Faso drew with Benin 1–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Burkina Faso had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Burkina Faso 56%, the draw 27% and Benin 17%.

Burkina Faso vs Benin match statistics

Burkina FasoBenin

Goals and cards

  1. 19' Yellow card J. Olaitan Benin
  2. 20' Penalty scored L. Traoré Burkina Faso
  3. 57' Yellow card L. Traoré Burkina Faso
  4. 68' Penalty scored Aiyegun Tosin Benin

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.86
Over 4.5 goals12%8.39
Under 0.5 goals9%11.03
Under 1.5 goals26%3.88
Under 2.5 goals52%1.91
Under 3.5 goals74%1.35
Under 4.5 goals88%1.14
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.05
Both teams to score: No51%1.95

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.6

Burkina Faso 5.1 · Benin 3.5

Total cornersOverUnder
6.573%27%
7.561%39%
8.548%52%
9.536%64%
10.525%75%

Expected shots on target: 7.2

Burkina Faso 3.9 · Benin 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.571%29%
6.557%43%
7.543%57%
8.530%70%
9.520%80%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.7%
  2. 1–0 11.6%
  3. 2–0 11.2%
  4. 2–1 9.6%
  5. 0–0 9.1%
  6. 3–0 6.4%
  7. 3–1 5.5%
  8. 0–1 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Burkina Faso at home

5–2–0 in 7 matches

Scored
2.6 per game
Conceded
0.9 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 7
Corners
8.0 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Benin away

2–2–5 in 9 matches

Scored
0.6 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 9
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
2.5 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 9 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Burkina Faso vs Benin head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Burkina Faso v Benin 3–0
Benin v Burkina Faso 2–2
Burkina Faso v Benin 1–1
Burkina Faso v Benin 2–0
Benin v Burkina Faso 2–1

Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Burkina Faso vs Benin head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away Over 1.5 team goals 21% 4.70
Away Over 0.5 team goals 58% 1.73
Away +0.5 handicap 44% 2.29
Draw/Away double chance 44% 2.29
Away +1.5 handicap 68% 1.48
Away -0.5 handicap 17% 5.84
Home Over 0.5 team goals 82% 1.22
Home Over 1.5 team goals 51% 1.95
Home Over 2.5 team goals 25% 4.04
Home +0.5 handicap 83% 1.21
Home/Draw double chance 83% 1.21
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.36
Home -0.5 handicap 56% 1.78
Home -1.5 handicap 32% 3.09
Away clean sheet 18% 5.57
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 17.76
Home clean sheet 42% 2.36
Home +1.5 handicap 94% 1.06
Away -1.5 handicap 6% 16.97