Algeria vs Zambia match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Algeria beat Zambia 3–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Algeria had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Algeria 86%, the draw 10% and Zambia 4%.
Algeria vs Zambia match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 21 Total shots 12
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 11 Shots off target 8
- 4 Blocked shots 2
- 14 Shots inside the box 5
- 6 Corners 4
- 13 Fouls 18
- 4 Offsides 3
- 0 Yellow cards 3
- 546 Passes 249
- 90% Pass accuracy 79%
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 2' Own goal M. Chaiwa Algeria
- 49' Yellow card J. Liteta Zambia
- 57' Goal F. Sakala (assist D. Simukonda) Zambia
- 67' Goal I. Maza (assist M. Amoura) Algeria
- 74' Goal A. Hadj-Moussa (assist I. Maza) Algeria
- 82' Yellow card O. Tembo Zambia
- 89' Yellow card F. Sakala Zambia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 86%Algeria fair odds 1.16
- 10%Draw fair odds 9.90
- 4%Zambia fair odds 25.48
Most likely score 3-0 (10.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57% | 1.74 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 43.38 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 11.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.96 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Algeria 4.8 · Zambia 3.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected shots on target: 7.1
Algeria 5.0 · Zambia 2.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 6.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 7.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 9.5 | 19% | 81% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 3–0 10.9%
- 2–0 9.8%
- 4–0 9.1%
- 3–1 7.7%
- 2–1 6.9%
- 4–1 6.4%
- 5–0 6.1%
- 1–0 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Algeria
Bench A. Ramdane , A. Touba , R. Aït-Nouri , Z. Belaïd , A. Abada , H. Abdelli , A. Aouchiche , I. Kebbal , M. Bakrar , A. Boulbina , A. Chiakha , A. Hadj-Moussa
Zambia
Bench L. Mulenga , O. Chisala , O. Mwamba , D. Simukonda , O. Tembo , W. Chisala , G. Kalusa , G. Lungu , C. Zimba , L. Banda , T. Sinkala , E. Mandanji
Form guide
Algeria at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Zambia away
1–1–5 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.3 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Algeria vs Zambia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Zambia v Algeria | 3–3 | |
| Algeria v Zambia | 5–0 | |
| Algeria v Zambia | 0–1 | |
| Zambia v Algeria | 3–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home/Away double chance | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home clean sheet | 50% | 2.01 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.38 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 14% | 7.13 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 14% | 7.13 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 29.30 |
| Away clean sheet | 4% | 28.09 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 4% | 25.48 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 91.50 |