Montenegro vs Cyprus match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Montenegro stats & fixtures · Cyprus stats & fixtures
Montenegro beat Cyprus 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 1) on 25 September 2026. Montenegro had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Montenegro 61%, the draw 25% and Cyprus 14%.
Montenegro vs Cyprus match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 19 Total shots 11
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 10 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 14 Shots inside the box 8
- 8 Corners 1
- 7 Fouls 7
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 532 Passes 299
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 2' Yellow card K. Sotiriou Cyprus
- 46' Yellow card G. Kastanos Cyprus
- 55' Goal M. Edwards (assist N. Tsaroulla) Cyprus
- 65' Yellow card N. Tsaroulla Cyprus
- 66' Penalty scored Nikola Krstović Montenegro
- 68' Yellow card I. Vujacic Montenegro
- 86' Goal M. Osmajić (assist Nikola Krstović) Montenegro
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 61%Montenegro fair odds 1.64
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.06
- 14%Cyprus fair odds 6.99
Most likely score 2-0 (12.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.53 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.16 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.93 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Montenegro 4.9 · Cyprus 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Montenegro 4.9 · Cyprus 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 12.0%
- 1–1 11.8%
- 1–0 11.5%
- 2–1 9.7%
- 0–0 8.3%
- 3–0 7.5%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 0–1 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Montenegro
Bench I. Nikić , S. Lončar , V. Đukanović , A. Djuric , D. Petkovic , R. Radunović , S. Rubežić , M. Vešović , M. Vukotić , D. Vuković , A. Latković , M. Brnović
Cyprus
Bench K. Artymatas , S. Georgiou , A. Kakoullis , I. Kosti , L. Loizou , J. Mall , A. Neophytou , A. Paraskevas , K. Pileas , N. Tsaroulla , C. Kyriakou , L. Konomis
Form guide
Montenegro at home
3–1–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 6
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.8 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Cyprus away
2–2–1 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 5
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Montenegro vs Cyprus head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Montenegro v Cyprus | 4–0 | |
| Cyprus v Montenegro | 0–2 | |
| Cyprus v Montenegro | 0–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 37% | 2.70 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home clean sheet | 45% | 2.24 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 19% | 5.16 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.45 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 14% | 6.99 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 20.65 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 21.37 |