Sweden vs Romania match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Sweden beat Romania 2–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 1) on 25 September 2026. Sweden had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sweden 62%, the draw 23% and Romania 15%.
Sweden vs Romania match statistics
- 60% Ball possession 40%
- 11 Total shots 10
- 4 Shots on target 1
- 3 Shots off target 8
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 5 Shots inside the box 4
- 3 Corners 0
- 6 Fouls 17
- 3 Offsides 2
- 0 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 588 Passes 392
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 20' Goal A. Isak (assist Yasin Ayari) Sweden
- 29' Goal D. Man (assist A. Ratiu) Romania
- 37' Yellow card R. Marin Romania
- 43' Goal V. Gyökeres Sweden
- 45+2' Yellow card V. Ghiță Romania
- 83' Yellow card Vladimir Screciu Romania
- 86' Yellow card D. Man Romania
- 90+1' Yellow card A. Coubiș Romania
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 62%Sweden fair odds 1.62
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.34
- 15%Romania fair odds 6.52
Most likely score 1-1 (10.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.82 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.11 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.21 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Sweden 5.3 · Romania 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Sweden 4.9 · Romania 3.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.9%
- 2–0 10.5%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 8.9%
- 3–0 7.2%
- 3–1 6.8%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 2–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Sweden
Bench M. Ellborg , H. Ekdal , G. Gudmundsson , J. Karlström , H. Larsson , J. Mellberg , B. Nygren , H. Skoglund , D. Svensson , W. Swedberg , N. Törnqvist , P. Wålemark
Romania
Bench F. Tănase , Nicolae Stanciu , Vladimir Screciu , D. Olaru , V. Mihaila , Matei Ilie , O. Hindrich , L. Eissat , Vlad Dragomir , V. Cojocaru , Andrei Borza , Andrei Burcă
Form guide
Sweden at home
4–2–2 in 8 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 8
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Romania away
0–1–5 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 2.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 1.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Sweden vs Romania head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Romania v Sweden | 0–2 | |
| Sweden v Romania | 2–1 | |
| Romania v Sweden | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 38% | 2.61 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 61% | 1.64 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 4.07 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.63 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.01 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.52 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.81 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 39% | 2.57 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.96 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.59 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 18.10 |