Hungary vs Ukraine match stats & report

0–1 Full time

UEFA Nations League · League B - 1 · Puskás Aréna, Budapest · Ref Jarred Gillett

Hungary stats & fixtures · Ukraine stats & fixtures

Hungary lost to Ukraine 0–1 in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 1) on 25 September 2026. Hungary had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Hungary 40%, the draw 29% and Ukraine 31%.

Hungary vs Ukraine match statistics

HungaryUkraine

Goals and cards

  1. 5' Yellow card A. Schäfer Hungary
  2. 21' Yellow card V. Brazhko Ukraine
  3. 42' Goal D. Sikan (assist H. Sudakov) Ukraine
  4. 49' Yellow card I. Krupskyi Ukraine
  5. 71' Yellow card O. Nazarenko Ukraine
  6. 82' Yellow card D. Barany Hungary
  7. 90+2' Red card O. Nazarenko Ukraine
  8. 90+3' Yellow card D. Szoboszlai Hungary
  9. 90+4' Yellow card Viktor Tsygankov Ukraine
  10. 90+4' Yellow card M. Kerkez Hungary
  11. 90+4' Yellow card M. Matvienko Ukraine

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals76%1.31
Over 2.5 goals50%2.00
Over 3.5 goals28%3.56
Over 4.5 goals13%7.48
Under 0.5 goals8%11.80
Under 1.5 goals24%4.22
Under 2.5 goals50%2.00
Under 3.5 goals72%1.39
Under 4.5 goals87%1.15
Both teams to score: Yes56%1.79
Both teams to score: No44%2.26

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.6

Hungary 4.6 · Ukraine 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
6.574%26%
7.561%39%
8.548%52%
9.536%64%
10.526%74%

Expected shots on target: 8.5

Hungary 4.0 · Ukraine 4.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.572%28%
7.560%40%
8.547%53%
9.535%65%
10.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (4364 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.9%
  2. 2–1 8.8%
  3. 0–0 8.5%
  4. 1–0 8.2%
  5. 1–2 7.7%
  6. 0–1 7.0%
  7. 2–0 7.0%
  8. 2–2 5.5%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Hungary at home

5–1–2 in 8 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.8 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 8
Corners
6.0 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 8 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Ukraine away

3–1–2 in 6 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 6
Corners
1.2 per game
Shots on target
2.8 per game

22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 2.5 team goals 17% 5.78
Home Over 1.5 team goals 42% 2.40
Away Over 1.5 team goals 36% 2.81
Away Over 2.5 team goals 13% 7.60
Home -1.5 handicap 20% 5.11
Away Over 0.5 team goals 71% 1.40
Away +0.5 handicap 60% 1.65
Home Over 0.5 team goals 76% 1.32
Away -1.5 handicap 14% 7.09
Draw/Away double chance 60% 1.65
Home -0.5 handicap 40% 2.53
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.41
Away -0.5 handicap 31% 3.18
Home +0.5 handicap 69% 1.46
Away +1.5 handicap 80% 1.24
Home/Draw double chance 69% 1.46
Home +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Away clean sheet 24% 4.16
Home clean sheet 29% 3.49