São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction & stats
São Bernardo stats & fixtures · Vila Nova stats & fixtures
São Bernardo take on Vila Nova in Serie B on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes São Bernardo favourites at 45%, with the draw at 31%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 46%.
São Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction
- 45%São Bernardo fair odds 2.21
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.22
- 24%Vila Nova fair odds 4.22
Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.23 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.74 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.85 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.0
São Bernardo 6.1 · Vila Nova 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 11.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 12.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.4
São Bernardo 2.2 · Vila Nova 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
São Bernardo 5.1 · Vila Nova 3.5
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (390 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.4%
- 1–0 12.6%
- 0–0 12.1%
- 2–0 9.4%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 0–1 7.8%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 0–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
São Bernardo
- 35 Jemerson Defender
- 29 Pedrinho Attacker
- 1 Alex Alves Goalkeeper
- 26 Eduardo Midfielder
- 9 Felipe Garcia Attacker
- 97 Augusto Defender
- 2 Rodrigo Ferreira Midfielder
- 14 Lucas Lima Midfielder
- 6 Pará Midfielder
- 33 Mário Sérgio Midfielder
- 10 Fabrício Daniel Attacker
Vila Nova
- 17 Everton Galdino Midfielder
- 4 Douglas Mendes Defender
- 1 Helton Leite Goalkeeper
- 99 Janderson Midfielder
- 10 Marquinhos Gabriel Midfielder
- 5 João Vieira Midfielder
- 15 Dudu Midfielder
- 22 Hayner Defender
- 7 André Luís Attacker
- 6 Higor Defender
- 23 Jonathan Costa Defender
Form guide
São Bernardo at home
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.5 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vila Nova away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo vs Vila Nova head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova v São Bernardo | 2–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.83 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.85 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.58 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.61 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.34 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.19 |