Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction & stats

Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Serie B · Brazil · Regular Season - 35 · Ressacada

Avai stats & fixtures · Botafogo SP stats & fixtures

Avai take on Botafogo SP in Serie B on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Avai favourites at 39%, with the draw at 35%. The likeliest score is 0–0, at 15.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 31% and both teams scoring at 40%.

Avai vs Botafogo SP prediction

39%Avai fair odds 2.57
35%Draw fair odds 2.89
26%Botafogo SP fair odds 3.78

Most likely score 0-0 (15.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	84%	1.19
Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.67
Over 2.5 goals	31%	3.21
Over 3.5 goals	14%	7.40
Over 4.5 goals	5%	20.50
Under 0.5 goals	16%	6.28
Under 1.5 goals	40%	2.50
Under 2.5 goals	69%	1.45
Under 3.5 goals	86%	1.16
Under 4.5 goals	95%	1.05
Both teams to score: Yes	40%	2.48
Both teams to score: No	60%	1.67

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 11.4

Avai 5.6 · Botafogo SP 5.8

Total corners	Over	Under
9.5	68%	32%
10.5	57%	43%
11.5	46%	54%
12.5	36%	64%
13.5	27%	73%

Expected cards: 4.3

Avai 2.3 · Botafogo SP 2.0

Total cards	Over	Under
2.5	79%	21%
3.5	62%	38%
4.5	43%	57%
5.5	27%	73%
6.5	15%	85%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

Avai 4.0 · Botafogo SP 3.8

Total shots on target	Over	Under
5.5	77%	23%
6.5	65%	35%
7.5	51%	49%
8.5	38%	62%
9.5	26%	74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (390 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

0–0 15.9%
1–1 15.2%
1–0 13.8%
0–1 10.3%
2–0 8.4%
2–1 7.4%
1–2 5.7%
0–2 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Avai

Probable — not confirmed

94 Bruno Ferreira Goalkeeper
3 Allyson Defender
36 DG Midfielder
10 Jean Lucas Midfielder
77 Zé Ricardo Midfielder
38 Jefferson Maciel Defender
14 Daniel Penha Midfielder
8 Luiz Henrique Midfielder
95 Wenderson Midfielder
22 João Vitor Cardoso de Souza Defender
40 Reynaldo Defender

Botafogo SP

Probable — not confirmed

6 Patrick Brey Midfielder
8 Everton Morelli Midfielder
4 Vilar Defender
1 Victor Souza Goalkeeper
10 Rafael Gava Attacker
9 Hygor Attacker
3 Ericson Defender
22 Gabriel Inocêncio Midfielder
7 Kelvin Attacker
2 Jonathan Defender
16 Matheus Sales Midfielder

Form guide

Avai at home

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored: 1.1 per game
Conceded: 0.9 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 5.6 per game
Shots on target: 4.0 per game

36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Botafogo SP away

3–3–4 in 10 matches

Scored: 0.8 per game
Conceded: 1.1 per game
Clean sheets: 3 / 10
Corners: 5.2 per game
Shots on target: 3.2 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Avai vs Botafogo SP head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
6 Jul 26	Botafogo SP v Avai	3–1
23 Nov 25	Botafogo SP v Avai	0–0
28 Jul 25	Avai v Botafogo SP	5–0
19 Nov 24	Botafogo SP v Avai	1–3
31 Jul 24	Avai v Botafogo SP	1–1

Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Avai vs Botafogo SP head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap	90%	1.11
Away +1.5 handicap	84%	1.20
Home/Draw double chance	74%	1.36
Home +0.5 handicap	74%	1.36
Home Over 0.5 team goals	67%	1.50
Home/Away double chance	65%	1.53
Draw/Away double chance	61%	1.64
Away +0.5 handicap	61%	1.64
Away Over 0.5 team goals	58%	1.73
Home clean sheet	42%	2.37
Home -0.5 handicap	39%	2.57
Away clean sheet	33%	2.99
Home Over 1.5 team goals	30%	3.35
Away -0.5 handicap	26%	3.78
Away Over 1.5 team goals	21%	4.68
Home -1.5 handicap	16%	6.07
Home Over 2.5 team goals	10%	10.25
Away -1.5 handicap	10%	10.50
Away Over 2.5 team goals	6%	17.49