Vila Nova vs Novorizontino prediction & stats
Vila Nova stats & fixtures · Novorizontino stats & fixtures
Vila Nova take on Novorizontino in Serie B on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Novorizontino favourites at 37%, with the draw at 33%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 37% and both teams scoring at 45%.
Vila Nova vs Novorizontino prediction
- 30%Vila Nova fair odds 3.32
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.05
- 37%Novorizontino fair odds 2.70
Most likely score 1-1 (15.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.79 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 14.67 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.54 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35% | 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| Both teams to score: No | 55% | 1.82 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.0
Vila Nova 5.6 · Novorizontino 5.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 11.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 12.5 | 32% | 68% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Vila Nova 2.6 · Novorizontino 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.4
Vila Nova 3.6 · Novorizontino 4.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 8.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 9.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 10.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (390 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 15.1%
- 0–0 13.3%
- 0–1 11.6%
- 1–0 9.9%
- 1–2 7.7%
- 0–2 7.6%
- 2–1 6.7%
- 2–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Vila Nova
- 17 Everton Galdino Midfielder
- 4 Douglas Mendes Defender
- 1 Helton Leite Goalkeeper
- 99 Janderson Midfielder
- 10 Marquinhos Gabriel Midfielder
- 5 João Vieira Midfielder
- 15 Dudu Midfielder
- 22 Hayner Defender
- 7 André Luís Attacker
- 6 Higor Defender
- 23 Jonathan Costa Defender
Novorizontino
- 10 Romulo Midfielder
- 93 Jordi Goalkeeper
- 6 Luis Oyama Midfielder
- 5 Sander Defender
- 30 Nicolas Careca Midfielder
- 4 Patrick Defender
- 2 Madson Defender
- 26 Gabriel Bahia Defender
- 11 Robson Attacker
- 41 Reidiney Midfielder
- 17 Matheus Bianqui Midfielder
Form guide
Vila Nova at home
8–1–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Novorizontino away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vila Nova vs Novorizontino head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino v Vila Nova | 2–1 | |
| Novorizontino v Vila Nova | 1–1 | |
| Vila Nova v Novorizontino | 0–1 | |
| Novorizontino v Vila Nova | 2–0 | |
| Vila Nova v Novorizontino | 2–1 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.15 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.70 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.14 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.20 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.59 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 63% | 1.59 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.18 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.31 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.07 |