São Bernardo vs Criciuma prediction & stats

Serie B · Brazil · Regular Season - 34 · Estadio Primeiro de Maio, San Bernado do Campo · Ref Bruno Pereira Vasconcelos

São Bernardo stats & fixtures · Criciuma stats & fixtures

São Bernardo take on Criciuma in Serie B on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes São Bernardo favourites at 38%, with the draw at 34%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.2%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 33% and both teams scoring at 42%.

São Bernardo vs Criciuma prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (15.2%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals85%1.18
Over 1.5 goals61%1.63
Over 2.5 goals33%3.06
Over 3.5 goals15%6.89
Over 4.5 goals5%18.61
Under 0.5 goals15%6.60
Under 1.5 goals39%2.60
Under 2.5 goals67%1.48
Under 3.5 goals85%1.17
Under 4.5 goals95%1.06
Both teams to score: Yes42%2.40
Both teams to score: No58%1.71

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 11.1

São Bernardo 4.8 · Criciuma 6.3

Total cornersOverUnder
9.565%35%
10.554%46%
11.543%57%
12.533%67%
13.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.1

São Bernardo 2.0 · Criciuma 2.1

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.559%41%
4.540%60%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

São Bernardo 4.4 · Criciuma 3.4

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.564%36%
7.551%49%
8.538%62%
9.526%74%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (390 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 15.2%
  2. 0–0 15.2%
  3. 1–0 13.1%
  4. 0–1 10.2%
  5. 2–0 8.2%
  6. 2–1 7.5%
  7. 1–2 6.0%
  8. 0–2 5.5%

Team news & lineups

São Bernardo

Probable — not confirmed

Criciuma

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

São Bernardo at home

2–4–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
5.6 per game
Shots on target
3.5 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Criciuma away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.2 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
6.4 per game
Shots on target
3.1 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

São Bernardo vs Criciuma head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Criciuma v São Bernardo 1–0

Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full São Bernardo vs Criciuma head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -0.5 handicap 38% 2.61
Home clean sheet 40% 2.47
Home +0.5 handicap 72% 1.38
Home -1.5 handicap 16% 6.13
Home/Draw double chance 72% 1.38
Home +1.5 handicap 90% 1.11
Home Over 1.5 team goals 30% 3.30
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.97
Home Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Home/Away double chance 66% 1.52
Away +1.5 handicap 84% 1.20
Away clean sheet 33% 3.03
Away +0.5 handicap 62% 1.62
Draw/Away double chance 62% 1.62
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.68
Away -0.5 handicap 28% 3.63
Away Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.36
Away -1.5 handicap 10% 9.76
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 15.60