Atalanta vs Pafos match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Atalanta beat Pafos 3–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1) on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.69–0.81. Atalanta had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atalanta 75%, the draw 18% and Pafos 7%.
Atalanta vs Pafos match statistics
- 66% Ball possession 34%
- 2.69 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
- 14 Total shots 7
- 5 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 3
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 8 Shots inside the box 4
- 4 Corners 2
- 11 Fouls 10
- 692 Passes 351
- 93% Pass accuracy 85%
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal E. Elmas (assist G. Raspadori) Atalanta
- 18' Penalty scored G. Raspadori Atalanta
- 44' Goal G. Scamacca (assist C. De Ketelaere) Atalanta
- 50' Yellow card Pafos
- 88' Goal Biel (assist Anderson Silva) Pafos
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 75%Atalanta fair odds 1.32
- 18%Draw fair odds 5.71
- 7%Pafos fair odds 14.28
Most likely score 2-0 (14.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.41 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.86 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.28 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.32 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 14.0%
- 3–0 11.1%
- 1–0 10.8%
- 2–1 8.8%
- 1–1 8.3%
- 3–1 7.0%
- 4–0 6.6%
- 0–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Atalanta
Bench C. De Ketelaere , L. Samardžić , Éderson , M. Sportiello , M. Sonzogni , R. Obrić , J. Idele , J. Rowe , N. Krstović
Pafos
Bench Ken Sema , Alexandre Brito , João Correia , Guga , Anderson Silva , Petros Petrou , Michalis Papastylianou , Melinos Kais , Kosmas Ioannou , Christos Evzonas , Georgios Michael
Form guide
Atalanta at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Pafos away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.32 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 98% | 1.02 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Away double chance | 82% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away clean sheet | 9% | 10.76 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 25% | 4.08 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.08 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 13% | 7.67 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 7% | 14.28 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 38.87 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 2% | 52.84 |