Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr prediction & stats

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 9 · King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah

Al-Ahli Jeddah stats & fixtures · Al-Nassr stats & fixtures

Al-Ahli Jeddah take on Al-Nassr in the Pro League on 15 October 2026. The Ghost makes Al-Ahli Jeddah favourites at 40%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.5%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals93%1.07
Over 1.5 goals81%1.24
Over 2.5 goals57%1.77
Over 3.5 goals34%2.94
Over 4.5 goals18%5.69
Under 0.5 goals7%15.21
Under 1.5 goals19%5.18
Under 2.5 goals43%2.30
Under 3.5 goals66%1.51
Under 4.5 goals82%1.21
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.65
Both teams to score: No40%2.53

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.4

Al-Ahli Jeddah 4.3 · Al-Nassr 5.1

Total cornersOverUnder
7.570%30%
8.558%42%
9.546%54%
10.534%66%
11.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.1

Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 · Al-Nassr 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
2.577%23%
3.558%42%
4.540%60%
5.524%76%
6.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 8.1

Al-Ahli Jeddah 3.8 · Al-Nassr 4.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.569%31%
7.555%45%
8.542%58%
9.531%69%
10.521%79%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (340 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.5%
  2. 2–1 9.0%
  3. 1–2 7.9%
  4. 1–0 6.8%
  5. 0–0 6.6%
  6. 2–0 6.5%
  7. 2–2 6.0%
  8. 0–1 5.9%

Form guide

Al-Ahli Jeddah at home

8–1–1 in 10 matches

Scored
3.0 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
5 / 10
Corners
3.8 per game
Shots on target
6.5 per game

13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al-Nassr away

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
2.1 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
8.1 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0
Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr 3–2
Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr 2–3
Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home -1.5 handicap 21% 4.82
Home -0.5 handicap 40% 2.47
Home clean sheet 25% 4.00
Home +0.5 handicap 67% 1.49
Home/Draw double chance 67% 1.49
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.86
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Home Over 1.5 team goals 46% 2.17
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.27
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.36
Away +1.5 handicap 79% 1.26
Away Over 0.5 team goals 75% 1.33
Away +0.5 handicap 60% 1.68
Draw/Away double chance 60% 1.68
Away Over 1.5 team goals 40% 2.47
Away clean sheet 21% 4.73
Away -0.5 handicap 33% 3.04
Away Over 2.5 team goals 16% 6.07
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.39