Riga vs Kairat Almaty match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Riga stats & fixtures · Kairat Almaty stats & fixtures
Riga drew with Kairat Almaty 1–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1) on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.30–1.12. Riga had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Riga 45%, the draw 29% and Kairat Almaty 26%.
Riga vs Kairat Almaty match statistics
- 63% Ball possession 37%
- 2.30 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
- 18 Total shots 13
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 5
- 10 Shots inside the box 4
- 2 Corners 3
- 8 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 585 Passes 336
- 87% Pass accuracy 78%
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 5' Penalty scored Marc Gual Kairat Almaty
- 12' Goal Salah Oulad M'Hand (assist Maksims Tonisevs) Riga
- 23' Yellow card Jaakko Oksanen Kairat Almaty
- 28' Penalty missed Muhammed Badamosi (assist Muhammed Badamosi) Riga
- 56' Yellow card Erkin Tapalov Kairat Almaty
- 90+3' Yellow card Aleksandr Martynovich Kairat Almaty
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Riga fair odds 2.23
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.41
- 26%Kairat Almaty fair odds 3.86
Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.71 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.10 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.0%
- 1–0 10.0%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 2–1 9.1%
- 2–0 8.5%
- 0–1 6.8%
- 1–2 6.6%
- 2–2 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Riga
Bench Reginaldo Ramires , Marcis Kazainis , Frenks Orols , Antonijs Černomordijs , Coli Saco , Samuel Pedro , Abdulrahman Taiwo
Kairat Almaty
Bench Ismail Bekbolat , Sherkhan Kalmurza , Lev Kurgin , Damir Kasabulat , Adilet Sadybekov , Olzhas Baibek , Azamat Tuyakbayev , Mukhamedali Abish , Mansur Birkurmanov
Form guide
Riga at home
4–2–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 7
- Corners
- 5.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Kairat Almaty away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 1.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.0 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.86 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.45 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.67 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.55 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.31 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.35 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.42 |