HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax match stats & report
2–1 Full time
HNK Hajduk Split stats & fixtures · Ajax stats & fixtures
HNK Hajduk Split beat Ajax 2–1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League (League Stage - 1) on 15 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.80–0.95. Ajax had 55% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave HNK Hajduk Split 30%, the draw 27% and Ajax 44%.
HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax match statistics
- 45% Ball possession 55%
- 1.80 Expected goals (xG) 0.95
- 13 Total shots 10
- 7 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 2
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 7 Shots inside the box 8
- 4 Corners 5
- 18 Fouls 12
- 5 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 356 Passes 433
- 84% Pass accuracy 86%
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 37' Goal Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba (assist Marin Šotiček) HNK Hajduk Split
- 45' Yellow card Alberto del Moral HNK Hajduk Split
- 53' Goal Davy Klaassen (assist Thilo Kehrer) Ajax
- 55' Goal Marin Šotiček (assist Michele Šego) HNK Hajduk Split
- 60' Yellow card Michele Šego HNK Hajduk Split
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 30%HNK Hajduk Split fair odds 3.37
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.73
- 44%Ajax fair odds 2.29
Most likely score 1-1 (12.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.81 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.73 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.46 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.59 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
HNK Hajduk Split 4.3 · Ajax 5.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.8
HNK Hajduk Split 1.9 · Ajax 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 10.9
HNK Hajduk Split 4.7 · Ajax 6.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (248 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.5%
- 1–2 9.2%
- 2–1 7.4%
- 0–2 6.8%
- 0–1 6.8%
- 0–0 6.4%
- 2–2 6.2%
- 1–0 5.2%
Team news & lineups
HNK Hajduk Split
Bench Dante Stipica , Davyd Fesyuk , Ron Raçi , Roko Gabrić , Alec Van Hoorenbeeck , Dario Melnjak , Luka Hodak , Anđelo Šutalo , Leander Dendoncker , Adam Huram , Carlos Martín , Marko Livaja
Ajax
Bench Maarten Paes , Aymean el Hani , Lucas Rosa , Owen Wijndal , Dies Janse , Oscar Gloukh , Jorthy Mokio , Mohamed Abdalla , Oliver Valaker Edvardsen , Marcos Leonardo , R. Bounida
Form guide
HNK Hajduk Split at home
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ajax away
7–2–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.7 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.4 per game
30% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.32 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.77 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.37 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 56% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.51 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.84 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.28 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.26 |