Express vs UPDF match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Express lost to UPDF 1–2 in the Premier League on 15 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Express 48%, the draw 32% and UPDF 20%.
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal Jowool UPDF
- 8' Goal Jowool UPDF
- 75' Goal H. Wamala Express
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 48%Express fair odds 2.09
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.10
- 20%UPDF fair odds 5.03
Most likely score 1-0 (15.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% | 6.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 17.54 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14% | 6.91 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 40% | 2.48 |
| Both teams to score: No | 60% | 1.68 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 15.3%
- 0–0 14.5%
- 1–1 14.3%
- 2–0 10.7%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 0–1 7.9%
- 1–2 4.6%
- 3–0 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Express
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
UPDF
Lineups aren't published for this competition, so we won't guess at one.
Form guide
Express at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
UPDF away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
Express vs UPDF head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| UPDF v Express | 0–1 | |
| Express v UPDF | 1–0 | |
| Express v UPDF | 2–2 | |
| UPDF v Express | 0–2 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.09 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.40 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.70 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 18% | 5.69 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.19 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 15.32 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 23.84 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home clean sheet | 47% | 2.13 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.68 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 5.03 |