Togo vs Burundi match stats & report

1–0 Full time

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · Group Stage - 1 · Stade de Kegue, Lome · Ref Celso Alvação

Togo stats & fixtures · Burundi stats & fixtures

Togo beat Burundi 1–0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Togo had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Togo 53%, the draw 28% and Burundi 20%.

Togo vs Burundi match statistics

TogoBurundi

Goals and cards

  1. 17' Goal D. Karim (assist S. Zuberu) Togo
  2. 56' Yellow card K. Boma Togo
  3. 75' Yellow card Christophe Nduwarugira Burundi
  4. 80' Yellow card S. Zuberu Togo
  5. 90+2' Yellow card Y. Ndayishimiye Burundi

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.05
Over 4.5 goals11%8.97
Under 0.5 goals10%10.44
Under 1.5 goals27%3.73
Under 2.5 goals54%1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%1.33
Under 4.5 goals89%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes49%2.03
Both teams to score: No51%1.97

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.3%
  2. 1–0 11.5%
  3. 2–0 10.5%
  4. 0–0 9.6%
  5. 2–1 9.5%
  6. 0–1 5.8%
  7. 3–0 5.7%
  8. 1–2 5.3%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Togo at home

2–0–1 in 3 matches

Scored
2.0 per game
Conceded
0.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 3
Corners
9.0 per game
Shots on target
3.0 per game

Based on 3 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Burundi away

1–0–3 in 4 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 4
Corners
3.0 per game
Shots on target
2.5 per game

Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away Over 1.5 team goals 23% 4.36
Away -0.5 handicap 20% 5.12
Away Over 0.5 team goals 60% 1.68
Draw/Away double chance 47% 2.11
Away +0.5 handicap 47% 2.11
Away +1.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Home Over 1.5 team goals 48% 2.08
Home Over 2.5 team goals 22% 4.53
Home Over 0.5 team goals 80% 1.25
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Home/Draw double chance 80% 1.24
Home +0.5 handicap 80% 1.24
Away clean sheet 20% 5.03
Home -0.5 handicap 53% 1.90
Home -1.5 handicap 29% 3.45
Away Over 2.5 team goals 6% 15.71
Home clean sheet 40% 2.47
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 14.30