Rwanda vs Liberia match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Rwanda beat Liberia 3–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Liberia had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Rwanda 52%, the draw 33% and Liberia 15%.
Rwanda vs Liberia match statistics
- 48% Ball possession 52%
- 12 Total shots 17
- 4 Shots on target 5
- 5 Shots off target 6
- 3 Blocked shots 6
- 8 Shots inside the box 9
- 1 Corners 5
- 19 Fouls 8
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 377 Passes 407
- 87% Pass accuracy 86%
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal A. Biramahire (assist L. Mickels) Rwanda
- 33' Goal L. Mickels (assist G. Byiringiro) Rwanda
- 34' Yellow card Bonheur Mugisha Rwanda
- 38' Goal S. Nimely Liberia
- 40' Yellow card J. Kwizera Rwanda
- 44' Penalty scored J. Mickels Rwanda
- 48' Yellow card A. Kosiah Liberia
- 61' Red card Kpah Sherman Liberia
- 76' Yellow card Innocent Nshuti Rwanda
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 52%Rwanda fair odds 1.92
- 33%Draw fair odds 3.04
- 15%Liberia fair odds 6.62
Most likely score 1-0 (18.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.66 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.00 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 4% | 26.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 18% | 5.63 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 32% | 3.11 |
| Both teams to score: No | 68% | 1.47 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 18.9%
- 0–0 17.8%
- 1–1 12.9%
- 2–0 12.8%
- 0–1 7.6%
- 2–1 7.2%
- 3–0 5.4%
- 1–2 3.2%
Team news & lineups
Rwanda
- 1 F. Ntwari Goalkeeper
- 24 G. Byiringiro Defender
- 5 A. Mutsinzi Defender
- 25 P. Kavita Defender
- 2 C. Niyomugabo —
- 15 Bonheur Mugisha Midfielder
- 4 D. Bizimana Midfielder
- 22 J. Kwizera Midfielder
- 20 J. Mickels Midfielder
- 13 L. Mickels Midfielder
- 7 A. Biramahire Attacker
Bench A. Hakizimana , Emmanuel Imanishimwe , Clement Niyigena , D. Nkulikiyimana , Kevin Muhire , S. Gueulette , J. Mickels , Innocent Nshuti , Noam Emeran , Gilbert Mugisha , E. I. Tatou , U. Obed
Liberia
- 16 T. Songo Goalkeeper
- 12 P. Tarnue —
- 2 Arago Jamal Defender
- 3 Emmanuel Fully Defender
- 13 S. Teclar —
- 24 S. Dweh Midfielder
- 6 S. Tweh Midfielder
- 17 F. Nyenetue Midfielder
- 19 O. Dorley Midfielder
- 22 E. Ledlum Midfielder
- 11 S. Nimely Attacker
Bench Ashley Williams , A. Wesseh , N. Kenneh , Divine Teah , Mohammed Sangare , K. Cole , K. Sherman , Prince Martor , B. Farkarlun , P. Wilson , A. Kosiah , G. Wallace
Form guide
Rwanda at home
3–0–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 4
- Corners
- 1.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Liberia away
0–1–4 in 5 matches
- Scored
- 0.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 5
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 5 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 57% | 1.75 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home/Away double chance | 67% | 1.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 43% | 2.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 4.00 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.62 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 11% | 9.17 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 25.86 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 51.56 |