Malawi vs South Sudan match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Malawi stats & fixtures · South Sudan stats & fixtures
Malawi beat South Sudan 2–1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (Group Stage - 1) on 25 September 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Malawi 42%, the draw 35% and South Sudan 22%.
Goals and cards
- 20' Goal B. Adepoju Malawi
- 28' Yellow card Mario Albano South Sudan
- 48' Goal S. J. Dhata South Sudan
- 64' Goal L. Njaliwa Malawi
- 76' Yellow card Francisco Madinga Malawi
- 84' Yellow card Rahan Angier South Sudan
- 90+1' Yellow card S. J. Dhata South Sudan
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 42%Malawi fair odds 2.36
- 35%Draw fair odds 2.83
- 22%South Sudan fair odds 4.50
Most likely score 0-0 (18.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% | 3.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% | 9.16 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 4% | 27.32 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 18% | 5.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 45% | 2.25 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 36% | 2.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 64% | 1.55 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 0–0 18.2%
- 1–0 16.3%
- 1–1 14.5%
- 0–1 10.1%
- 2–0 9.7%
- 2–1 7.0%
- 1–2 4.6%
- 0–2 4.2%
Team news & lineups
Malawi
Bench G. Chikooka , Gomezgani Chirwa , Blessings Mpokera , Washali Jaziya , Y. Singo , Francisco Madinga , F. Duwe , M. Malango , W. Mpinganjira , E. Kondowe , Blessings Kanowa , A. Kaduya
South Sudan
- 23 Majak Mawith Goalkeeper
- 3 A. Geriga —
- 14 R. Angier —
- 2 B. Laku —
- 13 B. Bakasoro —
- 20 S. J. Dhata Midfielder
- 5 C. Yak —
- 8 W. Gama —
- 17 P. Jawa Midfielder
- 12 J. Iluya —
- 15 M. Albano —
Bench G. Yogusuk , D. Kunyu Salah , P. Maker , J. Malish , J. Manyang , V. Kuach Yuel , J. Dwang , P. Valentino , K. Majak , C. Yelchan
Form guide
Malawi at home
1–0–0 in 1 match
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 1
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 1 match — treat these numbers lightly.
South Sudan away
1–0–1 in 2 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 2
- Corners
- not available
- Shots on target
- not available
Based on 2 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Malawi vs South Sudan head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| South Sudan v Malawi | 0–1 | |
| Malawi v South Sudan | 1–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 34% | 2.97 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.74 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 58% | 1.74 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.50 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home clean sheet | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 16% | 6.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.49 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 27.76 |