Botafogo SP vs Ceara match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Botafogo SP stats & fixtures · Ceara stats & fixtures
Botafogo SP beat Ceara 1–0 in Serie B on 13 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.86–0.45. Botafogo SP had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Botafogo SP 45%, the draw 31% and Ceara 24%.
Botafogo SP vs Ceara match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 0.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.45
- 15 Total shots 10
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 6 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 8 Shots inside the box 4
- 8 Corners 4
- 13 Fouls 18
- 1 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 321 Passes 315
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 44' Yellow card Everton Morelli Botafogo SP
- 66' Yellow card Luiz Otávio Ceara
- 74' Goal Hygor Botafogo SP
- 90+4' Yellow card Joao Gabriel Ceara
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Botafogo SP fair odds 2.24
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.20
- 24%Ceara fair odds 4.13
Most likely score 1-1 (14.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.99 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.18 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 46% | 2.18 |
| Both teams to score: No | 54% | 1.85 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.3
Botafogo SP 6.3 · Ceara 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 11.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 12.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 13.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Botafogo SP 1.8 · Ceara 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Botafogo SP 4.9 · Ceara 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (391 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.5%
- 1–0 12.6%
- 0–0 12.2%
- 2–0 9.3%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 0–1 8.0%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 0–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Botafogo SP
Bench Felipe Vieira , Guilherme Queiróz , Jadson Alves de Lima, Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceição , Arthur Caíke , Badaró , Darlan , Thiago Henrique , Pedro Henrique , Jordan , Marco Antônio , Zé Hugo
Ceara
Bench Giovanni Pavani , Rian Santana, Richardson , M. N. Ferreira Berrondo , Éder , Rafael Ramos , Caíque França , Lucca , Lenny Lobato , R. Lopez , L. Mugni , Janderson Gabriel De Oliveira Martins
Form guide
Botafogo SP at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ceara away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Botafogo SP vs Ceara head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Ceara v Botafogo SP | 0–1 | |
| Botafogo SP v Ceara | 1–4 | |
| Ceara v Botafogo SP | 4–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.80 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.80 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.24 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.70 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.77 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.13 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.82 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.96 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.05 |