Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta match stats & report
5–1 Full time
Novorizontino stats & fixtures · Ponte Preta stats & fixtures
Novorizontino beat Ponte Preta 5–1 in Serie B on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.71–1.42. Ponte Preta had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Novorizontino 83%, the draw 13% and Ponte Preta 4%.
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 1.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.42
- 13 Total shots 13
- 7 Shots on target 7
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 2 Blocked shots 1
- 10 Shots inside the box 7
- 5 Corners 3
- 23 Fouls 23
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 2
- 315 Passes 426
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 11' Goal Ronald Barcellos (assist Romulo) Novorizontino
- 25' Goal Juninho Novorizontino
- 43' Red card Patrick Novorizontino
- 45' Goal (assist S. Palacios) Ponte Preta
- 45+1' Yellow card Gustavo Almeida Ponte Preta
- 45+8' Penalty scored Romulo Novorizontino
- 51' Yellow card Madson Novorizontino
- 62' Red card Gustavo Almeida Ponte Preta
- 68' Yellow card Ponte Preta
- 81' Goal Carlão (assist Tavinho) Novorizontino
- 84' Yellow card Gustavo Lopes Ponte Preta
- 88' Red card Ponte Preta
- 90' Goal Eduardo Brock Novorizontino
- 90+3' Yellow card Ponte Preta
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 83%Novorizontino fair odds 1.20
- 13%Draw fair odds 7.57
- 4%Ponte Preta fair odds 26.71
Most likely score 2-0 (16.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.79 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.31 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.27 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 37% | 2.67 |
| Both teams to score: No | 63% | 1.60 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.3
Novorizontino 7.9 · Ponte Preta 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 11.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 12.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 13.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.7
Novorizontino 1.7 · Ponte Preta 3.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 4.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 5.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
Novorizontino 8.4 · Ponte Preta 1.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (391 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 16.1%
- 3–0 13.1%
- 1–0 12.2%
- 2–1 8.5%
- 4–0 8.0%
- 3–1 7.0%
- 1–1 6.2%
- 0–0 4.9%
Team news & lineups
Novorizontino
Bench J. Lora , Jardiel Maciel Libertino da Silva , Maykon , C. Ortíz , Tavinho , A. Alvariño , Diego Mathias , Diego Galo , Eduardo Brock , César , Vinícius , Marlon
Ponte Preta
Bench Thevyn Dos Anjos Souza, Guilherme Viana , Emanuell Silva Ferreira, Vitor Ribeiro Fernandes, Ryan Henrique Pereira Andrade, Gustavo Lopes , Felipe Di Mauro Reis Coutinho, Karl , Nicolas Silva , Diego Monteiro Leao
Form guide
Novorizontino at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Ponte Preta away
0–0–10 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.3 per game
- Conceded
- 3.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 2.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta v Novorizontino | 0–2 | |
| Novorizontino v Ponte Preta | 2–1 | |
| Ponte Preta v Novorizontino | 1–0 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw/Away double chance | 17% | 5.90 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 14.62 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 17% | 5.90 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home clean sheet | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home/Away double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 9% | 11.40 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 47% | 2.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 1% | 73.47 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 99% | 1.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 4% | 26.71 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 1% | 110.40 |