Cuiaba vs Avai match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Cuiaba lost to Avai 0–1 in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.86–0.15. Cuiaba had 68% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Cuiaba 57%, the draw 30% and Avai 13%.
Cuiaba vs Avai match statistics
- 68% Ball possession 32%
- 1.86 Expected goals (xG) 0.15
- 23 Total shots 4
- 5 Shots on target 3
- 9 Shots off target 0
- 9 Blocked shots 1
- 13 Shots inside the box 0
- 13 Corners 5
- 11 Fouls 11
- 2 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 593 Passes 303
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 29' Yellow card David Miguel Cuiaba
- 40' Goal Daniel Penha (assist João Vitor Cardoso de Souza) Avai
- 54' Yellow card João Vitor Cardoso de Souza Avai
- 90' Yellow card Daniel Penha Avai
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 57%Cuiaba fair odds 1.76
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.34
- 13%Avai fair odds 7.63
Most likely score 1-0 (18.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 6.99 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 18.97 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.79 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 35% | 2.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 65% | 1.55 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Cuiaba 7.1 · Avai 3.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Cuiaba 1.8 · Avai 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 79% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 4.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.8
Cuiaba 5.5 · Avai 2.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 6.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 7.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 8.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 9.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (387 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 18.3%
- 0–0 14.7%
- 2–0 13.7%
- 1–1 12.6%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 3–0 6.3%
- 0–1 6.0%
- 3–1 3.8%
Team news & lineups
Cuiaba
Bench Eliel , Eric , Luisão , Luiz Otávio , H. Pedro , Rodrigo Farofa , Vinicius Peixoto , Wesley Dias , João Vitor , Ramon de Araujo Silva Moutinho, Weverson , Busatto
Avai
Bench Quaresma , Del Piage , Hyan , Igor Bohn , Léo Chú , Léo Gamalho , Gaspar , Pedrão , Paulo Vitor , Wallison
Form guide
Cuiaba at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 6.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.9 per game
14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Avai away
3–1–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 2.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.4 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cuiaba vs Avai head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Avai v Cuiaba | 1–0 | |
| Avai v Cuiaba | 2–0 | |
| Cuiaba v Avai | 2–2 | |
| Cuiaba v Avai | 1–0 | |
| Avai v Cuiaba | 1–2 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.26 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.32 |
| Home clean sheet | 56% | 1.79 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 87% | 1.15 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 43% | 2.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.76 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.31 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.44 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 44% | 2.27 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 13% | 7.63 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.92 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 12% | 8.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 27.91 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 2% | 46.29 |