Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Nautico Recife stats & fixtures · Vila Nova stats & fixtures
Nautico Recife lost to Vila Nova 0–2 in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.68–0.57. Nautico Recife had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Nautico Recife 45%, the draw 30% and Vila Nova 25%.
Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova match statistics
- 58% Ball possession 42%
- 0.68 Expected goals (xG) 0.57
- 16 Total shots 12
- 3 Shots on target 4
- 9 Shots off target 5
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 8 Shots inside the box 6
- 7 Corners 4
- 18 Fouls 16
- 4 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 475 Passes 359
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 22' Goal Everton Galdino Vila Nova
- 37' Yellow card João Vieira Vila Nova
- 38' Yellow card Vinícius Nautico Recife
- 43' Goal Janderson Vila Nova
- 54' Yellow card Igor Fernandes Nautico Recife
- 60' Yellow card Higor Meritão Vila Nova
- 69' Yellow card Douglas Mendes Vila Nova
- 72' Yellow card Willian Maranhão Vila Nova
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Nautico Recife fair odds 2.21
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.37
- 25%Vila Nova fair odds 4.00
Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 4.41 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10% | 10.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 9.68 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 29% | 3.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.29 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.01 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 1.99 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Nautico Recife 6.9 · Vila Nova 3.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Nautico Recife 2.5 · Vila Nova 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Nautico Recife 5.2 · Vila Nova 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (387 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.1%
- 1–0 11.1%
- 0–0 10.3%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 2–0 8.9%
- 0–1 7.2%
- 1–2 6.3%
- 0–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Nautico Recife
Bench Auremir , Luiz Felipe , Victor Andrade , Luiz Cláudio , Wanderson , Luiz Paulo , Derek , G. Guruceaga , Reginaldo Lopes , P. Núñez , Ryan , Gabriel Severino de Sousa
Vila Nova
Bench Igor Carius , Enzo , Nathan Camargo , Lincoln , Willian Maranhão , Dalberson , Anderson , Dodô , Emerson Urso , Higor Meritão , Tiago Pagnussat , Ryan Lima
Form guide
Nautico Recife at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 6.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vila Nova away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.8 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nautico Recife vs Vila Nova head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova v Nautico Recife | 4–3 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.44 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.86 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.74 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.83 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.83 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.74 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.16 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.00 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.11 |