Juventude vs São Bernardo match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Juventude stats & fixtures · São Bernardo stats & fixtures
Juventude drew with São Bernardo 2–2 in Serie B on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.62–1.41. Juventude had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Juventude 50%, the draw 32% and São Bernardo 18%.
Juventude vs São Bernardo match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 2.62 Expected goals (xG) 1.41
- 15 Total shots 10
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 8 Shots off target 2
- 3 Blocked shots 4
- 10 Shots inside the box 4
- 4 Corners 3
- 16 Fouls 16
- 2 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 455 Passes 408
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 23' Goal Rodrigo Sam (assist Raí) Juventude
- 31' Yellow card Alex Alves São Bernardo
- 35' Yellow card Jemerson São Bernardo
- 45+2' Penalty scored Felipe Garcia São Bernardo
- 45+6' Yellow card Juventude
- 46' Yellow card Marcos Paulo Juventude
- 49' Goal Lucas Fernandes (assist Felipe Garcia) São Bernardo
- 63' Yellow card Lucas Lima São Bernardo
- 69' Goal Raí (assist Marcos Paulo) Juventude
- 90+3' Yellow card Rodrigo Ferreira São Bernardo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 50%Juventude fair odds 2.01
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.10
- 18%São Bernardo fair odds 5.59
Most likely score 1-0 (16.5%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% | 7.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 5% | 19.39 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 15% | 6.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 39% | 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 38% | 2.62 |
| Both teams to score: No | 62% | 1.62 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
Juventude 6.3 · São Bernardo 4.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Juventude 1.9 · São Bernardo 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.2
Juventude 5.1 · São Bernardo 3.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (387 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 16.5%
- 0–0 15.2%
- 1–1 14.0%
- 2–0 11.5%
- 2–1 8.2%
- 0–1 7.6%
- 3–0 4.8%
- 1–2 4.1%
Team news & lineups
Juventude
Bench Alan Kardec , Gabriel Pinheiro , M. Castro , Juan Christian , Luan Gonçalves , Lucas Mineiro , I. Ly , Nathan , Pedro Rocha , Titi , Wadson , Lucas Alves
São Bernardo
Bench Echaporã , Hyoran , Lucas , Pedro Vitor , Romisson , Caio Belmonte Garcez, João Pedro Constancio Dos Santos, Breninho , Hugo Sanches , D. Davi , Júnior Oliveira , Foguinho
Form guide
Juventude at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.6 per game
13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
São Bernardo away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
36% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Juventude vs São Bernardo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| São Bernardo v Juventude | 0–1 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.70 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.59 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home clean sheet | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 15% | 6.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.21 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 18.06 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 3% | 29.60 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 7.15 |