Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC match stats & report

3–2 Full time

Pro League · Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 8 · Kingdom Arena, Riyadh · Ref Khalid Al-Turais

Al-Hilal Saudi FC stats & fixtures · Al-Ittihad FC stats & fixtures

Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Ittihad FC 3–2 in the Pro League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.30–1.22. Al-Ittihad FC had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC 64%, the draw 20% and Al-Ittihad FC 16%.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC match statistics

Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Ittihad FC

48% Ball possession 52%
2.30 Expected goals (xG) 1.22
16 Total shots 8
7 Shots on target 5
5 Shots off target 3
4 Blocked shots 0
11 Shots inside the box 4
9 Corners 4
14 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
396 Passes 425
3 Goalkeeper saves 4

Goals and cards

11' Goal G. Martinelli (assist O. Watkins) Al-Hilal Saudi FC
22' Goal Y. En-Nesyri (assist Marwan Al Sahafi) Al-Ittihad FC
30' Goal O. Watkins Al-Hilal Saudi FC
37' Yellow card Rúben Neves Al-Hilal Saudi FC
38' Yellow card D. Lopy Al-Ittihad FC
64' Goal C. Summerville (assist O. Watkins) Al-Hilal Saudi FC
73' Yellow card S. Bergwijn Al-Ittihad FC
89' Penalty scored S. Bergwijn Al-Ittihad FC
90+6' Yellow card P. Rajković Al-Ittihad FC

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

64%Al-Hilal Saudi FC fair odds 1.56
20%Draw fair odds 5.00
16%Al-Ittihad FC fair odds 6.31

Most likely score 2-1 (10.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96%	1.04
Over 1.5 goals	87%	1.15
Over 2.5 goals	67%	1.49
Over 3.5 goals	45%	2.23
Over 4.5 goals	26%	3.79
Under 0.5 goals	4%	24.73
Under 1.5 goals	13%	7.62
Under 2.5 goals	33%	3.04
Under 3.5 goals	55%	1.82
Under 4.5 goals	74%	1.36
Both teams to score: Yes	62%	1.61
Both teams to score: No	38%	2.65

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.7

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 5.7 · Al-Ittihad FC 4.0

Total corners	Over	Under
7.5	73%	27%
8.5	62%	38%
9.5	50%	50%
10.5	38%	62%
11.5	28%	72%

Expected cards: 3.6

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1.4 · Al-Ittihad FC 2.2

Total cards	Over	Under
1.5	87%	13%
2.5	69%	31%
3.5	48%	52%
4.5	29%	71%
5.5	16%	84%

Expected shots on target: 9.9

Al-Hilal Saudi FC 6.9 · Al-Ittihad FC 3.0

Total shots on target	Over	Under
7.5	75%	25%
8.5	64%	36%
9.5	52%	48%
10.5	41%	59%
11.5	30%	70%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (335 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

2–1 10.3%
1–1 9.0%
2–0 8.8%
3–1 7.7%
1–0 6.7%
3–0 6.6%
2–2 5.2%
3–2 4.5%

Team news & lineups

Al-Hilal Saudi FC

Confirmed 4-4-2 S. Inzaghi

37 Y. Bounou

19 T. Hernández 3 K. Koulibaly 87 Hassan Tambakti 2 Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari

38 C. Summerville 6 Nasser Al Dawsari 8 Rúben Neves 70 Saïmon Bouabré

11 O. Watkins 7 G. Martinelli

Bench Sultan Mandash , Murad Al Hawsawi , Moteb Al Harbi , Nawaf Al Habashi , Mohammed Al Owais , Suhayb Al Zaid , S. Dahal , Mohamed Kanno , Ali Lajami

Al-Ittihad FC

Confirmed 4-4-2 Jens Wissing

1 P. Rajković

25 F. Abdi 4 J. Šimić 2 Danilo Pereira 13 Muhannad Al Shanqiti

34 S. Bergwijn 27 Ahmed Al Ghamdi 30 D. Lopy 22 Marwan Al Sahafi

21 Y. En-Nesyri 10 H. Aouar

Bench Ahmed Al Julaydan , Saad Al Mosa , Farhah Al Shamrani , Saleh Al Shehri , Mukhtar Ali , Muath Faqeehi , Rakan Kaabi , Mohammed Al Absi , G. Wijnaldum

Form guide

Al-Hilal Saudi FC at home

7–1–2 in 10 matches

Scored: 2.4 per game
Conceded: 1.1 per game
Clean sheets: 5 / 10
Corners: 6.3 per game
Shots on target: 6.3 per game

14% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al-Ittihad FC away

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored: 2.0 per game
Conceded: 1.7 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 5.0 per game
Shots on target: 5.7 per game

20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
21 Feb 26	Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Ittihad FC	1–1
24 Oct 25	Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC	0–2
22 Feb 25	Al-Ittihad FC v Al-Hilal Saudi FC	4–1
21 Sep 24	Al-Hilal Saudi FC v Al-Ittihad FC	3–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Draw/Away double chance	36%	2.79
Away +0.5 handicap	36%	2.79
Away clean sheet	10%	10.44
Away +1.5 handicap	58%	1.71
Away Over 1.5 team goals	31%	3.22
Away Over 2.5 team goals	11%	9.46
Away Over 0.5 team goals	68%	1.48
Home Over 0.5 team goals	90%	1.11
Home +1.5 handicap	94%	1.07
Home/Draw double chance	84%	1.19
Home/Away double chance	80%	1.25
Home Over 1.5 team goals	68%	1.47
Away -1.5 handicap	6%	15.56
Home -0.5 handicap	64%	1.56
Home clean sheet	32%	3.10
Home -1.5 handicap	42%	2.41
Home Over 2.5 team goals	41%	2.45
Home +0.5 handicap	84%	1.19
Away -0.5 handicap	16%	6.31