USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad result
2–2 Full time
USM Alger stats & fixtures · CR Belouizdad stats & fixtures
USM Alger drew with CR Belouizdad 2–2 in Ligue 1 on 24 October 2026. Before kick-off the Ghost gave USM Alger 38%, the draw 32% and CR Belouizdad 29%.
Goals and cards
- 8' Penalty scored M. Ben Hammouda CR Belouizdad
- 26' Penalty missed Z. Draoui (assist Z. Draoui) USM Alger
- 28' Goal M. Ben Hammouda CR Belouizdad
- 29' Yellow card M. Ben Hammouda CR Belouizdad
- 45+10' Penalty scored M. Ramdaoui USM Alger
- 54' Yellow card S. Bouchar CR Belouizdad
- 56' Yellow card Y. Laouafi CR Belouizdad
- 57' Goal S. Radouani USM Alger
- 61' Yellow card R. Mahrouz USM Alger
- 79' Red card A. Abada USM Alger
- 83' Yellow card H. Benayada CR Belouizdad
- 84' Yellow card CR Belouizdad
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
Called it: USM Alger or a draw, 71% before kick-off
- 38%USM Alger fair odds 2.62
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.09
- 29%CR Belouizdad fair odds 3.39
Most likely score 1-1 (14.7%)
Why the Ghost says this
The two sides are expected to score about the same and playing at home is worth roughly 57% in this competition. It projects as a tight, low-scoring match.
High confidence — Fitted on 524 matches, and close to what the market implies.
The Ghost’s brief · what the call rests on
USM Alger
Attack 1.00 · Defence 0.89
Last five: DWLWW, scored 6, conceded 3
Against its rating, a match: +0.3 scored, −0.1 conceded
CR Belouizdad
Attack 1.31 · Defence 0.83
Last five: WWWWD, scored 9, conceded 5
Against its rating, a match: −0.1 scored, −0.3 conceded
What could swing it
- Home advantage here: an average home side scores 1.57× what an average away side does. In the numbers
- USM Alger’s last five moved its expected goals by +0.5%. In the numbers
- CR Belouizdad’s last five moved its expected goals by −0.8%. In the numbers
- Last 4 meetings: USM Alger won 0, 4 drawn, CR Belouizdad won 0. Measured over 32,101 repeat meetings, the last one tells almost nothing the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
- CR Belouizdad has had 8 more days of rest. Measured: no effect the ratings miss. Not in the numbers
Most likely score 1-1 (15%). Confidence: High.
Flags and warnings
Nothing unusual behind these numbers.
How they meet · each attack against the defence it faces
- USM Alger attack scores about the average, against CR Belouizdad defence, which lets in 17% fewer than average: 1.11 goals (an average side here: 1.33)
- CR Belouizdad attack scores 31% more than average, against USM Alger defence, which lets in 11% fewer than average: 0.99 goals (an average side here: 0.85)
With the model’s final adjustments, the call rests on USM Alger 1.13, CR Belouizdad 0.97.
Ratings from 65 matches for USM Alger and 65 for CR Belouizdad, fitted together, so each is measured against the sides actually faced.
What matters
- CR Belouizdad score 1.2 a game — 94th percentile in this competition.
- USM Alger have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.
- CR Belouizdad have kept 5 clean sheets in 10.
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 6.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6% | 16.24 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 14% | 7.36 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37% | 2.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.31 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.76 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.7%
- 0–0 13.6%
- 1–0 12.7%
- 0–1 10.5%
- 2–0 7.9%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–2 5.8%
Form now
Each side's form as of , from its matches up to then — not the form this match was played on.
USM Alger at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
CR Belouizdad away
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.0 per game
8% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Detailed match statistics aren't available for this competition, so corners, shots and cards can't be shown.
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| USM Alger v CR Belouizdad | 1–1 | |
| CR Belouizdad v USM Alger | 0–0 | |
| CR Belouizdad v USM Alger | 1–1 | |
| USM Alger v CR Belouizdad | 0–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home clean sheet | 38% | 2.62 |
| Away clean sheet | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.21 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.39 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 25% | 3.97 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.18 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.84 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.54 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 13.38 |