Falkirk vs Dundee match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Falkirk lost to Dundee 1–2 in the Premiership on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.12–1.54. Falkirk had 54% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Falkirk 53%, the draw 26% and Dundee 21%.
Falkirk vs Dundee match statistics
- 54% Ball possession 46%
- 2.12 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
- 16 Total shots 23
- 5 Shots on target 10
- 8 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 8
- 11 Shots inside the box 17
- 3 Corners 10
- 12 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 520 Passes 407
- 8 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 31' Penalty scored J. Murrell Falkirk
- 52' Goal O. Bevan (assist D. Wright) Dundee
- 90+1' Goal A. Hay (assist E. Hamilton) Dundee
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 53%Falkirk fair odds 1.89
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.90
- 21%Dundee fair odds 4.66
Most likely score 1-1 (12.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.18 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.35 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.04 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.27 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.2
Falkirk 6.2 · Dundee 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Falkirk 2.1 · Dundee 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 8.3
Falkirk 5.0 · Dundee 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 9.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 10.5 | 22% | 78% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (229 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.2%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 2–0 9.2%
- 1–0 9.2%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 3–1 5.8%
- 1–2 5.8%
- 3–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Falkirk
Bench J. McMillan , Ben Parkinson , R. MacIver , N. Hogarth , C. Fodrey , C. Sibbald , F. Yeats , D. Meļņiks , C. McLeod
Dundee
Bench M. Akinmboni , R. Bland , B. Halliday , Ashton Leiper, K. O'Hara , I. Odutayo , J. Wright , Alfie Harrison , Rory Hughes
Form guide
Falkirk at home
3–0–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.2 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Dundee away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Falkirk vs Dundee head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Falkirk v Dundee | 1–0 | |
| Dundee v Falkirk | 1–0 | |
| Falkirk v Dundee | 2–1 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.87 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.92 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.12 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 29% | 3.44 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.89 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.66 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 10.55 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.51 |